Fertility in Italy, 2070
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2070
Total fertility rate: 1.42
The total fertility rate of Italy is projected at 1.42 children per woman in 2070 — below the replacement level of about 2.1. Births are projected to be most frequent among women aged 30-34 (100 per 1,000 women in that age group), and the average mother would be 32.3 years old. In total, 300,637 babies are projected to be born. Source: United Nations, World Population Prospects 2024 (medium-variant projection).
Key indicators, 2070
Total fertility rate
1.42
Births
300,637
Births per 1,000 people
6.9
Mean age of mothers
32.3
Births to mothers aged 15–19
1.0%
Net reproduction rate
0.69
Boys per 100 girls at birth
105.8
Population
43,353,332
The net reproduction rate counts only daughters who survive to their mothers' age: below 1, each generation of women is smaller than the one before.
Fertility by age of mother, 2070
| Mother's age | Births per 1,000 women | Share of total fertility | Births |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10-14 | 0.0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 15-19 | 3.5 | 1.2% | 2,881 |
| 20-24 | 24.3 | 8.5% | 24,087 |
| 25-29 | 65.4 | 23.1% | 71,329 |
| 30-34 | 100.3 | 35.3% | 108,138 |
| 35-39 | 70.5 | 24.8% | 73,511 |
| 40-44 | 18.0 | 6.3% | 18,637 |
| 45-49 | 1.9 | 0.7% | 2,026 |
| 50-54 | 0.0 | 0.0% | 23 |
Fertility in Italy by year