Popolazione mondiale nel 2100: proiezioni per paese

Popolazione mondiale nel 2100: proiezioni per paese

Prospettive demografiche mondiali dell'ONU, revisione 2024 (variante media)

Proiezioni a variante media delle Nazioni Unite della popolazione per paese nel 2100, a confronto con oggi.

  • 200 paesi e territori classificati
  • Il più alto: India
  • Il più basso: Monaco

Scarica questa tabella in Excel (.xlsx)

Posizione Nazione Popolazione 2100RegionePopolazione 2026Variazione entro il 2100Età mediana 2100
1 India 1,505,251,761 Asia 1,476,625,577 +1.9% 48.8
2 Cina 633,368,113 Asia 1,412,914,089 -55.2% 61.7
3 Pakistan 511,000,619 Asia 259,299,792 +97.1% 38.3
4 Nigeria 476,747,781 Africa 242,431,832 +96.7% 35.3
5 R.D. Congo 430,709,446 Africa 116,452,162 +269.9% 32.8
6 Stati Uniti d'America 421,278,890 NORTHERN AMERICA 349,035,494 +20.7% 46.3
7 Etiopia 367,289,597 Africa 138,902,185 +164.4% 37.6
8 Indonesia 295,511,061 Asia 287,886,783 +2.6% 46.0
9 Tanzania 262,834,721 Africa 72,563,781 +262.2% 33.3
10 Bangladesh 208,596,516 Asia 177,818,045 +17.3% 49.7
11 Egitto 201,895,184 Africa 120,101,176 +68.1% 42.6
12 Brasile 163,364,064 LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN 213,562,667 -23.5% 51.7
13 Angola 150,045,575 Africa 40,215,180 +273.1% 33.1
14 Sudan 136,890,755 Africa 53,282,719 +156.9% 36.5
15 Messico 130,248,836 LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN 132,997,658 -2.1% 50.2
16 Afghanistan 130,216,739 Asia 45,047,069 +189.1% 35.8
17 Russia 126,386,516 Europa 143,394,458 -11.9% 46.0
18 Uganda 120,835,192 Africa 52,761,470 +129.0% 41.2
19 Filippine 114,221,910 Asia 117,724,472 -3.0% 47.1
20 Yemen 110,035,634 Asia 42,961,653 +156.1% 38.2
21 Mozambico 104,346,534 Africa 36,639,851 +184.8% 35.2
22 Kenya 104,195,501 Africa 58,636,412 +77.7% 38.5
23 Costa d'Avorio 104,042,820 Africa 33,494,346 +210.6% 31.6
24 Iraq 100,649,056 Asia 48,007,437 +109.7% 40.1
25 Sudafrica 94,314,448 Africa 65,453,085 +44.1% 39.3
26 Vietnam 91,705,108 Asia 102,177,431 -10.2% 50.3
27 Niger 90,819,274 Africa 28,814,878 +215.2% 35.5
28 Camerun 88,875,688 Africa 30,640,817 +190.1% 35.0
29 Madagascar 85,341,148 Africa 33,522,052 +154.6% 35.2
30 Iran 80,045,291 Asia 93,168,498 -14.1% 52.9
31 Mali 79,354,048 Africa 25,932,275 +206.0% 33.8
32 Giappone 76,845,989 Asia 122,427,731 -37.2% 54.0
33 Uzbekistan 74,350,006 Asia 37,724,223 +97.1% 40.0
34 Regno Unito 74,305,411 Europa 69,931,528 +6.3% 48.9
35 Arabia Saudita 71,006,691 Asia 35,165,787 +101.9% 36.8
36 Germania 70,899,863 Europa 83,644,258 -15.2% 48.4
37 Ciad 69,546,607 Africa 21,560,380 +222.6% 32.7
38 Francia 68,484,559 Europa 66,746,401 +2.6% 48.1
39 Ghana 67,547,746 Africa 35,697,557 +89.2% 38.2
40 Somalia 67,364,024 Africa 20,305,907 +231.7% 33.5
41 Turchia 65,338,459 Asia 87,926,082 -25.7% 55.6
42 Algeria 64,487,528 Africa 48,028,334 +34.3% 47.7
43 Zambia 64,473,917 Africa 22,521,916 +186.3% 35.4
44 Malawi 59,141,258 Africa 22,785,535 +159.6% 37.5
45 Canada 53,612,235 NORTHERN AMERICA 40,467,728 +32.5% 47.9
46 Burkina Faso 49,854,229 Africa 24,601,700 +102.6% 36.9
47 Birmania 49,658,882 Asia 55,184,819 -10.0% 44.8
48 Colombia 47,080,764 LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN 53,936,226 -12.7% 52.8
49 Senegal 47,014,186 Africa 19,366,548 +142.8% 38.3
50 Thailandia 45,555,065 Asia 71,559,615 -36.3% 52.9
51 Malesia 44,026,122 Asia 36,385,115 +21.0% 48.4
52 Siria 43,686,647 Asia 26,472,497 +65.0% 44.3
53 Australia 43,143,685 Oceania 27,227,096 +58.5% 45.8
54 Benin 39,587,568 Africa 15,170,420 +161.0% 34.0
55 Argentina 38,255,990 LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN 46,003,734 -16.8% 52.7
56 Perù 38,163,319 LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN 34,922,148 +9.3% 49.9
57 Marocco 37,884,370 Africa 38,762,441 -2.3% 49.1
58 Burundi 37,873,962 Africa 14,729,157 +157.1% 35.0
59 Zimbabwe 37,166,572 Africa 17,273,580 +115.2% 36.7
60 Italia 35,376,822 Europa 58,926,167 -40.0% 54.4
61 Kazakistan 33,672,181 Asia 21,083,627 +59.7% 41.8
62 Spagna 33,127,479 Europa 47,850,793 -30.8% 53.2
63 Ruanda 32,779,346 Africa 14,889,693 +120.1% 39.1
64 Guinea 32,007,047 Africa 15,441,993 +107.3% 36.3
65 Nepal 31,831,434 Asia 29,629,410 +7.4% 48.4
66 Venezuela 28,280,553 LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN 28,633,711 -1.2% 47.3
67 Togo 26,300,754 Africa 9,930,919 +164.8% 33.3
68 Emirati Arabi Uniti 26,134,299 Asia 11,574,682 +125.8% 34.9
69 Guatemala 25,912,091 LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN 18,967,978 +36.6% 45.9
70 Sudan del Sud 23,840,773 Africa 12,436,037 +91.7% 36.2
71 Cambogia 22,738,858 Asia 18,051,220 +26.0% 43.7
72 Corea del Sud 21,848,791 Asia 51,600,388 -57.7% 60.8
73 Giordania 21,322,926 Asia 11,589,533 +84.0% 44.1
74 Sri Lanka 21,249,406 Asia 23,348,315 -9.0% 50.9
75 Tagikistan 20,201,583 Asia 10,978,599 +84.0% 41.2
76 Congo 20,025,644 Africa 6,637,786 +201.7% 34.2
77 Israele 19,747,040 Asia 9,647,689 +104.7% 41.6
78 Corea del Nord 19,512,149 Asia 26,633,691 -26.7% 49.6
79 Polonia 19,329,839 Europa 37,843,189 -48.9% 56.3
80 Ecuador 19,092,159 LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN 18,444,507 +3.5% 51.0
81 Repubblica Centrafricana 18,779,150 Africa 5,698,984 +229.5% 34.0
82 Papua Nuova Guinea 18,640,542 Oceania 10,947,848 +70.3% 38.2
83 Bolivia 17,760,564 LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN 12,749,291 +39.3% 42.1
84 Paesi Bassi 17,507,518 Europa 18,448,776 -5.1% 49.4
85 Mauritania 17,118,470 Africa 5,461,319 +213.4% 35.7
86 Honduras 17,029,977 LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN 11,184,760 +52.3% 44.8
87 Sierra Leone 15,934,257 Africa 8,996,745 +77.1% 38.4
88 Ucraina 15,197,403 Europa 39,535,849 -61.6% 58.9
89 Haiti 15,151,093 LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN 12,037,506 +25.9% 40.7
90 Cile 13,430,616 LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN 19,945,850 -32.7% 58.4
91 Liberia 12,665,395 Africa 5,853,949 +116.4% 36.2
92 Oman 12,094,997 Asia 5,671,459 +113.3% 36.6
93 Kirghizistan 11,729,827 Asia 7,400,465 +58.5% 42.4
94 Repubblica Dominicana 11,674,910 LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN 11,609,500 +0.6% 47.3
95 Stato di Palestina 11,482,187 Asia 5,692,790 +101.7% 44.2
96 Svezia 11,366,896 Europa 10,701,047 +6.2% 49.6
97 Belgio 11,060,848 Europa 11,774,643 -6.1% 50.0
98 Romania 10,768,185 Europa 18,800,605 -42.7% 51.2
99 Tunisia 10,652,235 Africa 12,415,139 -14.2% 51.6
100 Azerbaigian 10,021,321 Asia 10,454,855 -4.1% 47.0
101 Turkmenistan 9,946,598 Asia 7,736,632 +28.6% 45.0
102 Libia 9,783,569 Africa 7,539,852 +29.8% 47.2
103 Kuwait 9,602,015 Asia 5,102,773 +88.2% 36.8
104 Laos 9,256,278 Asia 7,974,018 +16.1% 45.9
105 Svizzera 9,126,132 Europa 9,007,798 +1.3% 49.0
106 Paraguay 9,047,989 LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN 7,095,280 +27.5% 45.1
107 Portogallo 8,753,987 Europa 10,395,363 -15.8% 48.3
108 Nicaragua 8,611,722 LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN 7,097,329 +21.3% 47.9
109 Eritrea 8,444,382 Africa 3,682,669 +129.3% 39.2
110 Repubblica Ceca 8,228,076 Europa 10,527,781 -21.8% 49.1
111 Ungheria 7,460,743 Europa 9,585,818 -22.2% 48.0
112 Austria 7,399,329 Europa 9,107,266 -18.8% 50.5
113 Qatar 7,272,256 Asia 3,173,560 +129.2% 34.7
114 Libano 7,192,593 Asia 5,897,467 +22.0% 48.3
115 Gabon 6,903,323 Africa 2,647,400 +160.8% 35.9
116 Grecia 6,275,577 Europa 9,897,116 -36.6% 53.2
117 Panamá 5,904,927 LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN 4,625,718 +27.7% 49.0
118 Namibia 5,897,944 Africa 3,153,246 +87.0% 39.8
119 Danimarca 5,863,216 Europa 6,023,521 -2.7% 48.5
120 Nuova Zelanda 5,812,294 Oceania 5,287,479 +9.9% 48.5
121 Gambia 5,703,043 Africa 2,884,080 +97.7% 39.9
122 Cuba 5,577,282 LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN 10,892,659 -48.8% 55.8
123 Mongolia 5,519,345 Asia 3,556,798 +55.2% 42.9
124 Norvegia 5,413,618 Europa 5,652,989 -4.2% 50.3
125 Irlanda (isola) 5,286,120 Europa 5,356,950 -1.3% 50.9
126 El Salvador 5,073,225 LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN 6,391,254 -20.6% 51.3
127 Guinea Equatoriale 5,003,223 Africa 1,984,468 +152.1% 36.0
128 Guinea-Bissau 4,665,485 Africa 2,297,808 +103.0% 37.5
129 Finlandia 4,601,058 Europa 5,621,739 -18.2% 51.5
130 Bielorussia 4,350,962 Europa 8,937,018 -51.3% 54.5
131 Singapore 4,163,013 Asia 5,905,748 -29.5% 56.9
132 Botswana 3,836,825 Africa 2,603,388 +47.4% 42.3
133 Costa Rica 3,776,474 LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN 5,174,789 -27.0% 57.2
134 Serbia 3,701,499 Europa 6,641,964 -44.3% 52.8
135 Bulgaria 3,531,198 Europa 6,667,660 -47.0% 50.7
136 Slovacchia 3,427,216 Europa 5,451,342 -37.1% 52.4
137 Lesotho 3,259,299 Africa 2,389,336 +36.4% 39.7
138 Bahrein 3,090,323 Asia 1,675,572 +84.4% 37.7
139 Georgia (disambigua) 2,969,403 Asia 3,804,642 -22.0% 49.2
140 Uruguay 2,245,887 LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN 3,382,537 -33.6% 55.1
141 Croazia 2,141,439 Europa 3,822,345 -44.0% 53.8
142 Hong Kong 2,080,291 Asia 7,378,602 -71.8% 73.3
143 Timor Est 1,972,924 Asia 1,436,923 +37.3% 44.6
144 Comore 1,911,034 Africa 899,010 +112.6% 37.7
145 Isole Salomone 1,849,209 Oceania 858,288 +115.5% 38.8
146 Gibuti 1,841,534 Africa 1,199,460 +53.5% 39.8
147 Armenia 1,692,198 Asia 2,930,915 -42.3% 50.9
148 Slovenia 1,632,031 Europa 2,114,574 -22.8% 50.4
149 Moldavia 1,487,721 Europa 2,961,254 -49.8% 49.2
150 Mayotte 1,375,551 Africa 347,536 +295.8% 35.5
151 Bosnia ed Erzegovina 1,366,462 Europa 3,114,242 -56.1% 54.9
152 Swaziland 1,340,879 Africa 1,269,859 +5.6% 41.1
153 Cipro 1,275,353 Asia 1,382,335 -7.7% 51.0
154 Lituania 1,208,675 Europa 2,797,338 -56.8% 56.4
155 Albania 1,184,998 Europa 2,751,025 -56.9% 58.6
156 Giamaica 1,066,775 LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN 2,833,404 -62.4% 55.1
157 Porto Rico 995,626 LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN 3,222,688 -69.1% 66.8
158 Lettonia 925,371 Europa 1,835,935 -49.6% 54.2
159 Trinidad e Tobago 898,355 LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN 1,513,268 -40.6% 51.7
160 Guyana 888,953 LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN 840,890 +5.7% 44.3
161 Figi 879,377 Oceania 937,282 -6.2% 43.2
162 Vanuatu 875,479 Oceania 342,564 +155.6% 37.0
163 Repubblica di Macedonia 862,997 Europa 1,804,063 -52.2% 55.6
164 Riunione (isola) 852,214 Africa 886,298 -3.8% 50.6
165 Sahara Occidentale 831,294 Africa 610,813 +36.1% 43.8
166 Estonia 825,503 Europa 1,331,062 -38.0% 53.1
167 Guyana francese 775,239 LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN 318,872 +143.1% 39.9
168 Lussemburgo 747,991 Europa 687,449 +8.8% 49.9
169 Suriname 709,006 LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN 645,257 +9.9% 46.4
170 Bhutan 690,432 Asia 802,214 -13.9% 50.7
171 Mauritius 581,716 Africa 1,265,059 -54.0% 57.2
172 São Tomé e Príncipe 534,014 Africa 244,994 +118.0% 38.3
173 Maldive 474,919 Asia 531,517 -10.6% 48.6
174 Brunei 464,806 Asia 469,775 -1.1% 47.5
175 Belize 447,374 LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN 428,645 +4.4% 51.5
176 Capo Verde 416,941 Africa 529,630 -21.3% 54.4
177 Bahamas 384,955 LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN 404,629 -4.9% 47.5
178 Samoa 383,557 Oceania 220,528 +73.9% 37.1
179 Islanda 362,583 Europa 402,329 -9.9% 52.5
180 Malta 359,932 Europa 549,011 -34.4% 56.1
181 Nuova Caledonia 337,221 Oceania 297,893 +13.2% 48.2
182 Macao 331,168 Asia 723,189 -54.2% 63.2
183 Montenegro 326,015 Europa 626,233 -47.9% 53.9
184 Guadalupa 244,457 LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN 372,453 -34.4% 51.0
185 Kiribati 222,645 Oceania 138,445 +60.8% 37.8
186 Martinica 209,808 LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN 337,711 -37.9% 50.9
187 Guam 205,502 Oceania 170,185 +20.8% 46.3
188 Barbados 194,698 LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN 282,725 -31.1% 51.0
189 Polinesia francese 186,863 Oceania 283,076 -34.0% 58.5
190 Micronesia+%28Fed.+States+of%29 128,142 Oceania 114,183 +12.2% 41.5
191 Curaçao 120,454 LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN 185,441 -35.0% 53.9
192 Tonga 117,871 Oceania 103,291 +14.1% 41.4
193 Seychelles 115,964 Africa 134,959 -14.1% 46.6
194 Santa Lucia (Stato) 108,207 LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN 180,488 -40.0% 52.0
195 Aruba 75,170 LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN 108,164 -30.5% 51.0
196 Grenada 73,887 LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN 117,362 -37.0% 54.0
197 Antigua e Barbuda 67,975 LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN 94,626 -28.2% 53.0
198 Saint Vincent e Grenadine 64,218 LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN 99,245 -35.3% 48.3
199 Isole Vergini americane 61,961 LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN 83,401 -25.7% 48.1
200 Monaco 47,489 Europa 38,087 +24.7% 44.0

A very different world population map

By 2100, the UN's medium-variant projection has India still the world's most populous country at about 1.51 billion — only slightly below its projected 2050 peak — while China falls all the way to around 633 million, less than half its current population and a smaller economy-sized population than Pakistan (projected at 511 million) or Nigeria (projected at 477 million). D.R. Congo, currently the 15th most populous country in the world, is projected to reach 431 million by 2100, making it one of the five most populous countries on Earth. The United States, by contrast, is projected to grow only modestly over the full 74-year span, from about 349 million today to around 421 million.

Africa's century

The countries projected to gain the most ground by 2100 are almost exclusively African — the same countries topping our fastest-growing ranking today, extended out over three-quarters of a century of continued (if slowing) growth. By 2100, demographic weight shifts decisively: a global population map built mostly around Asia and Europe through the 20th century gives way to one where Sub-Saharan Africa is the largest single bloc.

Why 2100 is a projection, not a forecast

A 75-year population projection is inherently far less reliable than the 2050 figures on this site: it depends on assumptions about fertility decline, mortality improvement and migration that compound over multiple generations not yet born. The UN publishes low and high variants alongside this medium one precisely because plausible outcomes diverge by billions of people at this horizon. Read this table as "the world UN demographers consider most likely if current trends continue," not as a prediction of exactly what will happen.

Domande frequenti

Quanti paesi comprende questa classifica?

Questa tabella copre 200 paesi e territori, classificati usando i dati delle Prospettive demografiche mondiali delle Nazioni Unite.

Quale paese avrà la popolazione più numerosa nel 2100?

Si prevede che India avrà la popolazione più numerosa nel 2100, con 1,505,251,761 abitanti.

Pagine correlate