População mundial em 2050: projeção por país

População mundial em 2050: projeção por país

Perspectivas da População Mundial da ONU, revisão 2024 (variante média)

Projeções de variante média das Nações Unidas da população por país em 2050, em comparação com hoje.

  • 199 países e territórios classificados
  • O mais alto: Índia
  • O mais baixo: Ilhas Virgens Americanas

Transferir esta tabela em Excel (.xlsx)

Posição País População 2050RegiãoPopulação 2026Variação até 2050Idade mediana 2050
1 Índia 1,679,589,259 Ásia 1,476,625,577 +13.7% 39.2
2 China 1,260,289,094 Ásia 1,412,914,089 -10.8% 53.1
3 Estados Unidos 380,846,910 NORTHERN AMERICA 349,035,494 +9.1% 42.9
4 Paquistão 371,863,793 Ásia 259,299,792 +43.4% 27.3
5 Nigéria 359,185,556 África 242,431,832 +48.2% 24.9
6 Indonésia 320,712,950 Ásia 287,886,783 +11.4% 37.8
7 Etiópia 225,021,875 África 138,902,185 +62.0% 25.6
8 RD Congo 218,246,072 África 116,452,162 +87.4% 21.0
9 Brasil 217,489,300 LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN 213,562,667 +1.8% 44.9
10 Bangladesh 214,709,097 Ásia 177,818,045 +20.7% 36.5
11 Egito 161,630,192 África 120,101,176 +34.6% 31.9
12 México 148,946,274 LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN 132,997,658 +12.0% 39.7
13 Rússia 136,132,775 Europa 143,394,458 -5.1% 42.8
14 Filipinas 134,373,439 Ásia 117,724,472 +14.1% 36.9
15 Tanzânia 129,621,103 África 72,563,781 +78.6% 22.8
16 Vietname 110,008,908 Ásia 102,177,431 +7.7% 41.3
17 Japão 105,123,168 Ásia 122,427,731 -14.1% 53.8
18 Irão 101,861,994 Ásia 93,168,498 +9.3% 44.5
19 Turquia 91,258,061 Ásia 87,926,082 +3.8% 45.3
20 Uganda 85,431,202 África 52,761,470 +61.9% 25.0
21 Sudão 85,206,383 África 53,282,719 +59.9% 25.0
22 Quénia 83,593,239 África 58,636,412 +42.6% 27.3
23 África do Sul 79,177,328 África 65,453,085 +21.0% 33.4
24 Alemanha 78,294,613 Europa 83,644,258 -6.4% 48.9
25 Afeganistão 76,885,135 Ásia 45,047,069 +70.7% 24.1
26 Reino Unido 75,504,681 Europa 69,931,528 +8.0% 43.9
27 Angola 74,295,395 África 40,215,180 +84.7% 22.0
28 Iraque 71,928,750 Ásia 48,007,437 +49.8% 28.8
29 Iémen 70,976,403 Ásia 42,961,653 +65.2% 25.1
30 França 68,219,675 Europa 66,746,401 +2.2% 44.5
31 Tailândia 66,382,735 Ásia 71,559,615 -7.2% 49.6
32 Moçambique 63,530,952 África 36,639,851 +73.4% 22.7
33 Argélia 59,565,555 África 48,028,334 +24.0% 35.6
34 Colômbia 59,385,357 LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN 53,936,226 +10.1% 44.7
35 Myanmar 58,623,232 Ásia 55,184,819 +6.2% 37.4
36 Costa do Marfim 55,746,985 África 33,494,346 +66.4% 23.6
37 Madagáscar 53,185,475 África 33,522,052 +58.7% 25.2
38 Níger 52,513,876 África 28,814,878 +82.2% 22.3
39 Uzbequistão 52,210,755 Ásia 37,724,223 +38.4% 29.2
40 Itália 51,891,099 Europa 58,926,167 -11.9% 53.9
41 Camarões 51,096,317 África 30,640,817 +66.8% 24.1
42 Gana 50,553,047 África 35,697,557 +41.6% 28.0
43 Argentina 48,308,944 LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN 46,003,734 +5.0% 42.9
44 Arábia Saudita 47,693,910 Ásia 35,165,787 +35.6% 33.0
45 Mali 46,154,079 África 25,932,275 +78.0% 21.3
46 Canadá 45,621,882 NORTHERN AMERICA 40,467,728 +12.7% 46.1
47 Coreia do Sul 45,143,134 Ásia 51,600,388 -12.5% 57.8
48 Espanha 44,928,558 Europa 47,850,793 -6.1% 52.8
49 Malásia 44,289,773 Ásia 36,385,115 +21.7% 41.2
50 Marrocos 43,440,431 África 38,762,441 +12.1% 38.4
51 Peru 40,583,876 LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN 34,922,148 +16.2% 40.1
52 Chade 38,857,686 África 21,560,380 +80.2% 20.8
53 Zâmbia 38,083,386 África 22,521,916 +69.1% 24.6
54 Síria 37,793,372 Ásia 26,472,497 +42.8% 33.1
55 Malawi 37,361,683 África 22,785,535 +64.0% 25.6
56 Burkina Faso 37,304,383 África 24,601,700 +51.6% 25.8
57 Somália 37,206,512 África 20,305,907 +83.2% 21.2
58 Nepal 34,642,027 Ásia 29,629,410 +16.9% 36.0
59 Polónia 32,814,097 Europa 37,843,189 -13.3% 52.6
60 Austrália 32,506,970 Oceania 27,227,096 +19.4% 43.0
61 Ucrânia 31,990,132 Europa 39,535,849 -19.1% 52.0
62 Venezuela 31,094,883 LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN 28,633,711 +8.6% 37.5
63 Senegal 30,364,954 África 19,366,548 +56.8% 26.7
64 Cazaquistão 26,544,265 Ásia 21,083,627 +25.9% 32.2
65 Zimbabwe 25,866,385 África 17,273,580 +49.7% 24.6
66 Coreia do Norte 25,787,128 Ásia 26,633,691 -3.2% 43.9
67 Sri Lanka 24,813,690 Ásia 23,348,315 +6.3% 41.2
68 Guatemala 24,670,857 LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN 18,967,978 +30.1% 34.0
69 Benim 24,433,810 África 15,170,420 +61.1% 24.0
70 Burundi 24,131,720 África 14,729,157 +63.8% 23.6
71 Guiné 23,404,584 África 15,441,993 +51.6% 25.3
72 Ruanda 22,707,910 África 14,889,693 +52.5% 26.8
73 Camboja 21,931,455 Ásia 18,051,220 +21.5% 33.2
74 Equador 21,337,238 LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN 18,444,507 +15.7% 40.6
75 Chile 20,320,307 LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN 19,945,850 +1.9% 49.9
76 Países Baixos 18,958,475 Europa 18,448,776 +2.8% 46.5
77 Sudão do Sul 18,341,974 África 12,436,037 +47.5% 26.0
78 Jordânia 16,367,355 Ásia 11,589,533 +41.2% 33.3
79 Bolívia 16,110,162 LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN 12,749,291 +26.4% 32.9
80 Roménia 16,027,267 Europa 18,800,605 -14.8% 47.3
81 Togo 15,584,778 África 9,930,919 +56.9% 24.3
82 Tajiquistão 15,574,643 Ásia 10,978,599 +41.9% 28.8
83 Emirados Árabes Unidos 15,367,392 Ásia 11,574,682 +32.8% 33.5
84 Papua-Nova Guiné 14,906,590 Oceania 10,947,848 +36.2% 29.5
85 Honduras 14,846,779 LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN 11,184,760 +32.7% 33.3
86 Haiti 14,710,862 LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN 12,037,506 +22.2% 32.1
87 Tunísia 13,145,141 África 12,415,139 +5.9% 41.4
88 Israel 13,092,722 Ásia 9,647,689 +35.7% 33.2
89 República Dominicana 12,996,293 LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN 11,609,500 +11.9% 37.2
90 Serra Leoa 12,948,325 África 8,996,745 +43.9% 27.4
91 Bélgica 11,870,906 Europa 11,774,643 +0.8% 46.3
92 Suécia 11,309,631 Europa 10,701,047 +5.7% 45.1
93 Azerbaijão 11,224,923 Ásia 10,454,855 +7.4% 40.8
94 Congo 11,006,472 África 6,637,786 +65.8% 24.1
95 República Centro-Africana 10,616,753 África 5,698,984 +86.3% 20.2
96 República Checa 9,825,544 Europa 10,527,781 -6.7% 47.1
97 Portugal 9,770,271 Europa 10,395,363 -6.0% 49.3
98 Laos 9,757,286 Ásia 7,974,018 +22.4% 34.0
99 Quirguistão 9,642,953 Ásia 7,400,465 +30.3% 31.5
100 Turquemenistão 9,639,708 Ásia 7,736,632 +24.6% 33.8
101 Mauritânia 9,415,598 África 5,461,319 +72.4% 23.4
102 Cuba 9,382,000 LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN 10,892,659 -13.9% 50.9
103 Suíça 9,342,586 Europa 9,007,798 +3.7% 48.8
104 Líbia 9,260,606 África 7,539,852 +22.8% 37.3
105 Libéria 8,910,530 África 5,853,949 +52.2% 25.7
106 Grécia 8,812,070 Europa 9,897,116 -11.0% 50.9
107 Nicarágua 8,756,430 LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN 7,097,329 +23.4% 35.9
108 Hungria 8,725,347 Europa 9,585,818 -9.0% 46.5
109 Áustria 8,724,332 Europa 9,107,266 -4.2% 50.2
110 Paraguai 8,640,464 LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN 7,095,280 +21.8% 34.5
111 Estado da Palestina 8,451,891 Ásia 5,692,790 +48.5% 29.0
112 Omã 7,827,002 Ásia 5,671,459 +38.0% 32.4
113 Bielorrússia 7,453,546 Europa 8,937,018 -16.6% 49.1
114 Líbano 6,999,260 Ásia 5,897,467 +18.7% 37.5
115 El Salvador 6,663,346 LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN 6,391,254 +4.3% 39.9
116 Kuwait 6,367,756 Ásia 5,102,773 +24.8% 36.5
117 Dinamarca 6,124,838 Europa 6,023,521 +1.7% 45.3
118 Hong Kong 6,090,619 Ásia 7,378,602 -17.5% 62.9
119 Singapura 6,081,692 Ásia 5,905,748 +3.0% 51.9
120 Irlanda (ilha) 5,970,042 Europa 5,356,950 +11.4% 43.9
121 Noruega 5,899,829 Europa 5,652,989 +4.4% 46.5
122 Nova Zelândia 5,755,288 Oceania 5,287,479 +8.8% 43.7
123 Eritreia 5,696,062 África 3,682,669 +54.7% 26.1
124 Panamá 5,630,680 LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN 4,625,718 +21.7% 39.2
125 Sérvia 5,532,870 Europa 6,641,964 -16.7% 49.4
126 Bulgária 5,402,217 Europa 6,667,660 -19.0% 49.0
127 Costa Rica 5,354,151 LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN 5,174,789 +3.5% 47.9
128 Finlândia 5,351,645 Europa 5,621,739 -4.8% 47.5
129 Eslováquia 4,936,488 Europa 5,451,342 -9.4% 50.3
130 Namíbia 4,512,301 África 3,153,246 +43.1% 28.8
131 Mongólia 4,501,493 Ásia 3,556,798 +26.6% 32.9
132 Gâmbia 4,301,896 África 2,884,080 +49.2% 27.1
133 Catar 4,164,461 Ásia 3,173,560 +31.2% 33.2
134 Gabão 4,084,533 África 2,647,400 +54.3% 26.6
135 Geórgia (desambiguação) 3,664,014 Ásia 3,804,642 -3.7% 41.5
136 Guiné-Bissau 3,438,608 África 2,297,808 +49.6% 26.8
137 Botswana 3,437,430 África 2,603,388 +32.0% 31.4
138 Uruguai 3,254,355 LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN 3,382,537 -3.8% 46.1
139 Croácia 3,234,160 Europa 3,822,345 -15.4% 50.1
140 Guiné Equatorial 3,143,728 África 1,984,468 +58.4% 25.4
141 Lesoto 2,993,077 África 2,389,336 +25.3% 29.8
142 Porto Rico 2,503,995 LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN 3,222,688 -22.3% 55.7
143 Arménia 2,495,207 Ásia 2,930,915 -14.9% 46.2
144 Bósnia e Herzegovina 2,455,167 Europa 3,114,242 -21.2% 52.5
145 Jamaica 2,454,940 LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN 2,833,404 -13.4% 47.0
146 Moldávia 2,351,809 Europa 2,961,254 -20.6% 41.9
147 Lituânia 2,258,774 Europa 2,797,338 -19.3% 51.3
148 Albânia 2,240,166 Europa 2,751,025 -18.6% 51.9
149 Bahrein 2,139,465 Ásia 1,675,572 +27.7% 36.0
150 Eslovénia 1,981,553 Europa 2,114,574 -6.3% 49.0
151 Timor-Leste 1,889,250 Ásia 1,436,923 +31.5% 32.2
152 Djibouti 1,530,540 África 1,199,460 +27.6% 32.2
153 Letónia 1,513,810 Europa 1,835,935 -17.5% 49.0
154 República da Macedónia 1,512,688 Europa 1,804,063 -16.2% 48.7
155 Chipre 1,508,482 Ásia 1,382,335 +9.1% 48.6
156 Suazilândia 1,505,331 África 1,269,859 +18.5% 30.4
157 Trinidad e Tobago 1,399,800 LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN 1,513,268 -7.5% 46.7
158 Ilhas Salomão 1,309,110 Oceania 858,288 +52.5% 27.5
159 Comores 1,307,558 África 899,010 +45.4% 26.4
160 Estónia 1,174,268 Europa 1,331,062 -11.8% 49.4
161 Maurícia 1,107,197 África 1,265,059 -12.5% 50.1
162 Fiji 1,000,261 Oceania 937,282 +6.7% 34.3
163 Reunião (ilha) 941,413 África 886,298 +6.2% 42.5
164 Guiana 940,608 LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN 840,890 +11.9% 33.3
165 Butão 882,340 Ásia 802,214 +10.0% 43.1
166 Luxemburgo 791,464 Europa 687,449 +15.1% 46.6
167 Saara Ocidental 777,316 África 610,813 +27.3% 37.6
168 Suriname 733,905 LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN 645,257 +13.7% 36.8
169 Macau 668,860 Ásia 723,189 -7.5% 57.0
170 Mayotte 645,426 África 347,536 +85.7% 23.6
171 Maldivas 589,963 Ásia 531,517 +11.0% 50.3
172 Cabo Verde 566,134 África 529,630 +6.9% 41.8
173 Malta 535,722 Europa 549,011 -2.4% 53.9
174 Vanuatu 534,388 Oceania 342,564 +56.0% 26.3
175 Montenegro 533,295 Europa 626,233 -14.8% 46.0
176 Brunei 519,551 Ásia 469,775 +10.6% 42.3
177 Belize 516,627 LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN 428,645 +20.5% 38.9
178 Guiana Francesa 471,917 LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN 318,872 +48.0% 29.6
179 Islândia 432,993 Europa 402,329 +7.6% 45.9
180 Bahamas 424,265 LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN 404,629 +4.9% 43.6
181 São Tomé e Príncipe 365,115 África 244,994 +49.0% 25.9
182 Nova Caledónia 340,581 Oceania 297,893 +14.3% 41.6
183 Guadalupe 326,318 LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN 372,453 -12.4% 46.7
184 Polinésia Francesa 284,751 Oceania 283,076 +0.6% 48.5
185 Martinica 282,070 LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN 337,711 -16.5% 49.4
186 Samoa 272,726 Oceania 220,528 +23.7% 25.0
187 Barbados 264,216 LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN 282,725 -6.5% 45.3
188 Guam 191,459 Oceania 170,185 +12.5% 35.7
189 Kiribati 182,622 Oceania 138,445 +31.9% 28.6
190 Curaçao 173,498 LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN 185,441 -6.4% 48.2
191 Santa Lúcia 172,081 LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN 180,488 -4.7% 46.6
192 Seychelles 141,747 África 134,959 +5.0% 43.5
193 Micronésia 126,408 Oceania 114,183 +10.7% 30.2
194 Granada (país) 113,244 LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN 117,362 -3.5% 45.3
195 Tonga 105,195 Oceania 103,291 +1.8% 27.5
196 Aruba 100,002 LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN 108,164 -7.5% 45.2
197 Antígua e Barbuda 95,055 LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN 94,626 +0.5% 46.7
198 São Vicente e Granadinas 88,942 LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN 99,245 -10.4% 40.9
199 Ilhas Virgens Americanas 71,226 LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN 83,401 -14.6% 43.4

The next 25 years, country by country

Under the UN's medium-variant projection, India is set to remain the world's most populous country in 2050 at roughly 1.68 billion people, up from about 1.48 billion in 2026. China, by contrast, is projected to keep shrinking from its current 1.41 billion to around 1.26 billion — a decline of more than 150 million people in 25 years, larger than the current population of Russia. The United States is projected to reach about 381 million, keeping its position as the third most populous country, with continued (if slower) growth driven mostly by immigration rather than fertility. Nigeria is the country to watch furthest down the table: projected to grow from about 242 million today to 359 million by 2050, it would overtake the United States to become the world's third most populous country within a generation.

Growth concentrates in Africa, decline concentrates in Europe

Almost every country projected to add substantially to its population by 2050 is in Sub-Saharan Africa — a direct consequence of the age structure visible in our median age ranking, where the region's broad-based, young populations guarantee further growth even under falling fertility. The mirror image holds for Europe and East Asia, where the countries topping our shrinking populations ranking are, unsurprisingly, projected to keep declining through 2050 rather than recovering.

How much to trust a 25-year projection

A 2050 projection is built almost entirely on people who are already alive today — the parents of 2050 are already born, so total population 25 years out is far more predictable than fertility or migration alone would suggest. The main source of uncertainty is fertility: small changes compound over 25 years, especially in countries currently in the middle of their fertility transition. Treat this table as the UN's central estimate, not a guarantee — see our 2100 projection for how much wider the range of outcomes becomes over a longer horizon.

Perguntas frequentes

Quantos países esta classificação abrange?

Esta tabela abrange 199 países e territórios, classificados com dados das Perspectivas da População Mundial das Nações Unidas.

Qual país terá a maior população em 2050?

Prevê-se que Índia terá a maior população em 2050, com 1,679,589,259 habitantes.

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