Población mundial en 2050: proyección de población por país

Población mundial en 2050: proyección de población por país

Perspectivas de Población Mundial de la ONU, revisión 2024 (variante media)

Proyecciones de variante media de las Naciones Unidas de la población por país en 2050, comparadas con la actualidad.

  • 200 países y territorios clasificados
  • El más alto: India
  • El más bajo: Mónaco

Descargar esta tabla en Excel (.xlsx)

Posición País Población 2050RegiónPoblación 2026Cambio hasta 2050Edad mediana 2050
1 India 1,679,589,259 Asia 1,476,625,577 +13.7% 39.2
2 China 1,260,289,094 Asia 1,412,914,089 -10.8% 53.1
3 Estados Unidos 380,846,910 NORTHERN AMERICA 349,035,494 +9.1% 42.9
4 Pakistán 371,863,793 Asia 259,299,792 +43.4% 27.3
5 Nigeria 359,185,556 África 242,431,832 +48.2% 24.9
6 Indonesia 320,712,950 Asia 287,886,783 +11.4% 37.8
7 Etiopía 225,021,875 África 138,902,185 +62.0% 25.6
8 R.D. Congo 218,246,072 África 116,452,162 +87.4% 21.0
9 Brasil 217,489,300 LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN 213,562,667 +1.8% 44.9
10 Bangladés 214,709,097 Asia 177,818,045 +20.7% 36.5
11 Egipto 161,630,192 África 120,101,176 +34.6% 31.9
12 México 148,946,274 LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN 132,997,658 +12.0% 39.7
13 Rusia 136,132,775 Europa 143,394,458 -5.1% 42.8
14 Filipinas 134,373,439 Asia 117,724,472 +14.1% 36.9
15 Tanzania 129,621,103 África 72,563,781 +78.6% 22.8
16 Vietnam 110,008,908 Asia 102,177,431 +7.7% 41.3
17 Japón 105,123,168 Asia 122,427,731 -14.1% 53.8
18 Irán 101,861,994 Asia 93,168,498 +9.3% 44.5
19 Turquía 91,258,061 Asia 87,926,082 +3.8% 45.3
20 Uganda 85,431,202 África 52,761,470 +61.9% 25.0
21 Sudán 85,206,383 África 53,282,719 +59.9% 25.0
22 Kenia 83,593,239 África 58,636,412 +42.6% 27.3
23 Sudáfrica 79,177,328 África 65,453,085 +21.0% 33.4
24 Alemania 78,294,613 Europa 83,644,258 -6.4% 48.9
25 Afganistán 76,885,135 Asia 45,047,069 +70.7% 24.1
26 Reino Unido 75,504,681 Europa 69,931,528 +8.0% 43.9
27 Angola 74,295,395 África 40,215,180 +84.7% 22.0
28 Irak 71,928,750 Asia 48,007,437 +49.8% 28.8
29 Yemen 70,976,403 Asia 42,961,653 +65.2% 25.1
30 Francia 68,219,675 Europa 66,746,401 +2.2% 44.5
31 Tailandia 66,382,735 Asia 71,559,615 -7.2% 49.6
32 Mozambique 63,530,952 África 36,639,851 +73.4% 22.7
33 Argelia 59,565,555 África 48,028,334 +24.0% 35.6
34 Colombia 59,385,357 LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN 53,936,226 +10.1% 44.7
35 Birmania 58,623,232 Asia 55,184,819 +6.2% 37.4
36 Costa de Marfil 55,746,985 África 33,494,346 +66.4% 23.6
37 Madagascar 53,185,475 África 33,522,052 +58.7% 25.2
38 Níger 52,513,876 África 28,814,878 +82.2% 22.3
39 Uzbekistán 52,210,755 Asia 37,724,223 +38.4% 29.2
40 Italia 51,891,099 Europa 58,926,167 -11.9% 53.9
41 Camerún 51,096,317 África 30,640,817 +66.8% 24.1
42 Ghana 50,553,047 África 35,697,557 +41.6% 28.0
43 Argentina 48,308,944 LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN 46,003,734 +5.0% 42.9
44 Arabia Saudita 47,693,910 Asia 35,165,787 +35.6% 33.0
45 Malí 46,154,079 África 25,932,275 +78.0% 21.3
46 Canadá 45,621,882 NORTHERN AMERICA 40,467,728 +12.7% 46.1
47 Corea del Sur 45,143,134 Asia 51,600,388 -12.5% 57.8
48 España 44,928,558 Europa 47,850,793 -6.1% 52.8
49 Malasia 44,289,773 Asia 36,385,115 +21.7% 41.2
50 Marruecos 43,440,431 África 38,762,441 +12.1% 38.4
51 Perú 40,583,876 LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN 34,922,148 +16.2% 40.1
52 Chad 38,857,686 África 21,560,380 +80.2% 20.8
53 Zambia 38,083,386 África 22,521,916 +69.1% 24.6
54 Siria 37,793,372 Asia 26,472,497 +42.8% 33.1
55 Malaui 37,361,683 África 22,785,535 +64.0% 25.6
56 Burkina Faso 37,304,383 África 24,601,700 +51.6% 25.8
57 Somalia 37,206,512 África 20,305,907 +83.2% 21.2
58 Nepal 34,642,027 Asia 29,629,410 +16.9% 36.0
59 Polonia 32,814,097 Europa 37,843,189 -13.3% 52.6
60 Australia 32,506,970 Oceanía 27,227,096 +19.4% 43.0
61 Ucrania 31,990,132 Europa 39,535,849 -19.1% 52.0
62 Venezuela 31,094,883 LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN 28,633,711 +8.6% 37.5
63 Senegal 30,364,954 África 19,366,548 +56.8% 26.7
64 Kazajistán 26,544,265 Asia 21,083,627 +25.9% 32.2
65 Zimbabue 25,866,385 África 17,273,580 +49.7% 24.6
66 Corea del Norte 25,787,128 Asia 26,633,691 -3.2% 43.9
67 Sri Lanka 24,813,690 Asia 23,348,315 +6.3% 41.2
68 Guatemala 24,670,857 LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN 18,967,978 +30.1% 34.0
69 Benín 24,433,810 África 15,170,420 +61.1% 24.0
70 Burundi 24,131,720 África 14,729,157 +63.8% 23.6
71 Guinea 23,404,584 África 15,441,993 +51.6% 25.3
72 Ruanda 22,707,910 África 14,889,693 +52.5% 26.8
73 Camboya 21,931,455 Asia 18,051,220 +21.5% 33.2
74 Ecuador 21,337,238 LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN 18,444,507 +15.7% 40.6
75 Chile 20,320,307 LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN 19,945,850 +1.9% 49.9
76 Países Bajos 18,958,475 Europa 18,448,776 +2.8% 46.5
77 Sudán del Sur 18,341,974 África 12,436,037 +47.5% 26.0
78 Jordania 16,367,355 Asia 11,589,533 +41.2% 33.3
79 Bolivia 16,110,162 LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN 12,749,291 +26.4% 32.9
80 Rumania 16,027,267 Europa 18,800,605 -14.8% 47.3
81 Togo 15,584,778 África 9,930,919 +56.9% 24.3
82 Tayikistán 15,574,643 Asia 10,978,599 +41.9% 28.8
83 Emiratos Árabes Unidos 15,367,392 Asia 11,574,682 +32.8% 33.5
84 Papúa Nueva Guinea 14,906,590 Oceanía 10,947,848 +36.2% 29.5
85 Honduras 14,846,779 LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN 11,184,760 +32.7% 33.3
86 Haití 14,710,862 LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN 12,037,506 +22.2% 32.1
87 Túnez 13,145,141 África 12,415,139 +5.9% 41.4
88 Israel 13,092,722 Asia 9,647,689 +35.7% 33.2
89 República Dominicana 12,996,293 LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN 11,609,500 +11.9% 37.2
90 Sierra Leona 12,948,325 África 8,996,745 +43.9% 27.4
91 Bélgica 11,870,906 Europa 11,774,643 +0.8% 46.3
92 Suecia 11,309,631 Europa 10,701,047 +5.7% 45.1
93 Azerbaiyán 11,224,923 Asia 10,454,855 +7.4% 40.8
94 Congo 11,006,472 África 6,637,786 +65.8% 24.1
95 República Centroafricana 10,616,753 África 5,698,984 +86.3% 20.2
96 República Checa 9,825,544 Europa 10,527,781 -6.7% 47.1
97 Portugal 9,770,271 Europa 10,395,363 -6.0% 49.3
98 Laos 9,757,286 Asia 7,974,018 +22.4% 34.0
99 Kirguistán 9,642,953 Asia 7,400,465 +30.3% 31.5
100 Turkmenistán 9,639,708 Asia 7,736,632 +24.6% 33.8
101 Mauritania 9,415,598 África 5,461,319 +72.4% 23.4
102 Cuba 9,382,000 LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN 10,892,659 -13.9% 50.9
103 Suiza 9,342,586 Europa 9,007,798 +3.7% 48.8
104 Libia 9,260,606 África 7,539,852 +22.8% 37.3
105 Liberia 8,910,530 África 5,853,949 +52.2% 25.7
106 Grecia 8,812,070 Europa 9,897,116 -11.0% 50.9
107 Nicaragua 8,756,430 LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN 7,097,329 +23.4% 35.9
108 Hungría 8,725,347 Europa 9,585,818 -9.0% 46.5
109 Austria 8,724,332 Europa 9,107,266 -4.2% 50.2
110 Paraguay 8,640,464 LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN 7,095,280 +21.8% 34.5
111 Estado de Palestina 8,451,891 Asia 5,692,790 +48.5% 29.0
112 Omán 7,827,002 Asia 5,671,459 +38.0% 32.4
113 Bielorrusia 7,453,546 Europa 8,937,018 -16.6% 49.1
114 Líbano 6,999,260 Asia 5,897,467 +18.7% 37.5
115 El Salvador 6,663,346 LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN 6,391,254 +4.3% 39.9
116 Kuwait 6,367,756 Asia 5,102,773 +24.8% 36.5
117 Dinamarca 6,124,838 Europa 6,023,521 +1.7% 45.3
118 Hong Kong 6,090,619 Asia 7,378,602 -17.5% 62.9
119 Singapur 6,081,692 Asia 5,905,748 +3.0% 51.9
120 Irlanda (isla) 5,970,042 Europa 5,356,950 +11.4% 43.9
121 Noruega 5,899,829 Europa 5,652,989 +4.4% 46.5
122 Nueva Zelanda 5,755,288 Oceanía 5,287,479 +8.8% 43.7
123 Eritrea 5,696,062 África 3,682,669 +54.7% 26.1
124 Panamá 5,630,680 LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN 4,625,718 +21.7% 39.2
125 Serbia 5,532,870 Europa 6,641,964 -16.7% 49.4
126 Bulgaria 5,402,217 Europa 6,667,660 -19.0% 49.0
127 Costa Rica 5,354,151 LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN 5,174,789 +3.5% 47.9
128 Finlandia 5,351,645 Europa 5,621,739 -4.8% 47.5
129 Eslovaquia 4,936,488 Europa 5,451,342 -9.4% 50.3
130 Namibia 4,512,301 África 3,153,246 +43.1% 28.8
131 Mongolia 4,501,493 Asia 3,556,798 +26.6% 32.9
132 Gambia 4,301,896 África 2,884,080 +49.2% 27.1
133 Catar 4,164,461 Asia 3,173,560 +31.2% 33.2
134 Gabón 4,084,533 África 2,647,400 +54.3% 26.6
135 Georgia (desambiguación) 3,664,014 Asia 3,804,642 -3.7% 41.5
136 Guinea-Bisáu 3,438,608 África 2,297,808 +49.6% 26.8
137 Botsuana 3,437,430 África 2,603,388 +32.0% 31.4
138 Uruguay 3,254,355 LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN 3,382,537 -3.8% 46.1
139 Croacia 3,234,160 Europa 3,822,345 -15.4% 50.1
140 Guinea Ecuatorial 3,143,728 África 1,984,468 +58.4% 25.4
141 Lesoto 2,993,077 África 2,389,336 +25.3% 29.8
142 Puerto Rico 2,503,995 LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN 3,222,688 -22.3% 55.7
143 Armenia 2,495,207 Asia 2,930,915 -14.9% 46.2
144 Bosnia-Herzegovina 2,455,167 Europa 3,114,242 -21.2% 52.5
145 Jamaica 2,454,940 LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN 2,833,404 -13.4% 47.0
146 Moldavia 2,351,809 Europa 2,961,254 -20.6% 41.9
147 Lituania 2,258,774 Europa 2,797,338 -19.3% 51.3
148 Albania 2,240,166 Europa 2,751,025 -18.6% 51.9
149 Baréin 2,139,465 Asia 1,675,572 +27.7% 36.0
150 Eslovenia 1,981,553 Europa 2,114,574 -6.3% 49.0
151 Timor Oriental 1,889,250 Asia 1,436,923 +31.5% 32.2
152 Yibuti 1,530,540 África 1,199,460 +27.6% 32.2
153 Letonia 1,513,810 Europa 1,835,935 -17.5% 49.0
154 República de Macedonia 1,512,688 Europa 1,804,063 -16.2% 48.7
155 Chipre 1,508,482 Asia 1,382,335 +9.1% 48.6
156 Suazilandia 1,505,331 África 1,269,859 +18.5% 30.4
157 Trinidad y Tobago 1,399,800 LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN 1,513,268 -7.5% 46.7
158 Islas Salomón 1,309,110 Oceanía 858,288 +52.5% 27.5
159 Comoras 1,307,558 África 899,010 +45.4% 26.4
160 Estonia 1,174,268 Europa 1,331,062 -11.8% 49.4
161 Mauricio 1,107,197 África 1,265,059 -12.5% 50.1
162 Fiyi 1,000,261 Oceanía 937,282 +6.7% 34.3
163 Reunión (departamento de Francia) 941,413 África 886,298 +6.2% 42.5
164 Guyana 940,608 LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN 840,890 +11.9% 33.3
165 Bután 882,340 Asia 802,214 +10.0% 43.1
166 Luxemburgo 791,464 Europa 687,449 +15.1% 46.6
167 Sahara Occidental 777,316 África 610,813 +27.3% 37.6
168 Surinam 733,905 LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN 645,257 +13.7% 36.8
169 Macao 668,860 Asia 723,189 -7.5% 57.0
170 Mayotte 645,426 África 347,536 +85.7% 23.6
171 Maldivas 589,963 Asia 531,517 +11.0% 50.3
172 Cabo Verde 566,134 África 529,630 +6.9% 41.8
173 Malta 535,722 Europa 549,011 -2.4% 53.9
174 Vanuatu 534,388 Oceanía 342,564 +56.0% 26.3
175 Montenegro 533,295 Europa 626,233 -14.8% 46.0
176 Brunéi 519,551 Asia 469,775 +10.6% 42.3
177 Belice 516,627 LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN 428,645 +20.5% 38.9
178 Guayana Francesa 471,917 LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN 318,872 +48.0% 29.6
179 Islandia 432,993 Europa 402,329 +7.6% 45.9
180 Bahamas 424,265 LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN 404,629 +4.9% 43.6
181 Santo Tomé y Príncipe 365,115 África 244,994 +49.0% 25.9
182 Nueva Caledonia 340,581 Oceanía 297,893 +14.3% 41.6
183 Guadalupe (Francia) 326,318 LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN 372,453 -12.4% 46.7
184 Polinesia Francesa 284,751 Oceanía 283,076 +0.6% 48.5
185 Martinica 282,070 LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN 337,711 -16.5% 49.4
186 Samoa 272,726 Oceanía 220,528 +23.7% 25.0
187 Barbados 264,216 LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN 282,725 -6.5% 45.3
188 Guam 191,459 Oceanía 170,185 +12.5% 35.7
189 Kiribati 182,622 Oceanía 138,445 +31.9% 28.6
190 Curazao 173,498 LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN 185,441 -6.4% 48.2
191 Santa Lucía 172,081 LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN 180,488 -4.7% 46.6
192 Seychelles 141,747 África 134,959 +5.0% 43.5
193 Micronesia+%28Fed.+States+of%29 126,408 Oceanía 114,183 +10.7% 30.2
194 Granada (país) 113,244 LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN 117,362 -3.5% 45.3
195 Tonga 105,195 Oceanía 103,291 +1.8% 27.5
196 Aruba 100,002 LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN 108,164 -7.5% 45.2
197 Antigua y Barbuda 95,055 LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN 94,626 +0.5% 46.7
198 San Vicente y las Granadinas 88,942 LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN 99,245 -10.4% 40.9
199 Islas Vírgenes de los Estados Unidos 71,226 LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN 83,401 -14.6% 43.4
200 Mónaco 36,757 Europa 38,087 -3.5% 43.8

The next 25 years, country by country

Under the UN's medium-variant projection, India is set to remain the world's most populous country in 2050 at roughly 1.68 billion people, up from about 1.48 billion in 2026. China, by contrast, is projected to keep shrinking from its current 1.41 billion to around 1.26 billion — a decline of more than 150 million people in 25 years, larger than the current population of Russia. The United States is projected to reach about 381 million, keeping its position as the third most populous country, with continued (if slower) growth driven mostly by immigration rather than fertility. Nigeria is the country to watch furthest down the table: projected to grow from about 242 million today to 359 million by 2050, it would overtake the United States to become the world's third most populous country within a generation.

Growth concentrates in Africa, decline concentrates in Europe

Almost every country projected to add substantially to its population by 2050 is in Sub-Saharan Africa — a direct consequence of the age structure visible in our median age ranking, where the region's broad-based, young populations guarantee further growth even under falling fertility. The mirror image holds for Europe and East Asia, where the countries topping our shrinking populations ranking are, unsurprisingly, projected to keep declining through 2050 rather than recovering.

How much to trust a 25-year projection

A 2050 projection is built almost entirely on people who are already alive today — the parents of 2050 are already born, so total population 25 years out is far more predictable than fertility or migration alone would suggest. The main source of uncertainty is fertility: small changes compound over 25 years, especially in countries currently in the middle of their fertility transition. Treat this table as the UN's central estimate, not a guarantee — see our 2100 projection for how much wider the range of outcomes becomes over a longer horizon.

Preguntas frecuentes

¿Cuántos países abarca esta clasificación?

Esta tabla cubre 200 países y territorios, clasificados con datos de las Perspectivas de Población Mundial de las Naciones Unidas.

¿Qué país tendrá la mayor población en 2050?

Se proyecta que India tendrá la mayor población en 2050, con 1,679,589,259 habitantes.

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