Ludność świata w 2050 roku: prognoza według krajów

Ludność świata w 2050 roku: prognoza według krajów

Prognozy ludności ONZ (World Population Prospects), rewizja 2024 (wariant średni)

Prognozy ONZ w wariancie średnim dotyczące liczby ludności według krajów w 2050 roku, w porównaniu z dniem dzisiejszym.

  • 200 krajów i terytoriów w rankingu
  • Najwyższy: Indie
  • Najniższy: Monako

Pobierz tę tabelę jako Excel (.xlsx)

Pozycja Kraj Ludność 2050RegionLudność 2026Zmiana do 2050Mediana wieku 2050
1 Indie 1,679,589,259 Azja 1,476,625,577 +13.7% 39.2
2 Chińska Republika Ludowa 1,260,289,094 Azja 1,412,914,089 -10.8% 53.1
3 Stany Zjednoczone 380,846,910 NORTHERN AMERICA 349,035,494 +9.1% 42.9
4 Pakistan 371,863,793 Azja 259,299,792 +43.4% 27.3
5 Nigeria 359,185,556 Afryka 242,431,832 +48.2% 24.9
6 Indonezja 320,712,950 Azja 287,886,783 +11.4% 37.8
7 Etiopia 225,021,875 Afryka 138,902,185 +62.0% 25.6
8 DR Konga 218,246,072 Afryka 116,452,162 +87.4% 21.0
9 Brazylia 217,489,300 LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN 213,562,667 +1.8% 44.9
10 Bangladesz 214,709,097 Azja 177,818,045 +20.7% 36.5
11 Egipt 161,630,192 Afryka 120,101,176 +34.6% 31.9
12 Meksyk 148,946,274 LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN 132,997,658 +12.0% 39.7
13 Rosja 136,132,775 Europa 143,394,458 -5.1% 42.8
14 Filipiny 134,373,439 Azja 117,724,472 +14.1% 36.9
15 Tanzania 129,621,103 Afryka 72,563,781 +78.6% 22.8
16 Wietnam 110,008,908 Azja 102,177,431 +7.7% 41.3
17 Japonia 105,123,168 Azja 122,427,731 -14.1% 53.8
18 Iran 101,861,994 Azja 93,168,498 +9.3% 44.5
19 Turcja 91,258,061 Azja 87,926,082 +3.8% 45.3
20 Uganda 85,431,202 Afryka 52,761,470 +61.9% 25.0
21 Sudan 85,206,383 Afryka 53,282,719 +59.9% 25.0
22 Kenia 83,593,239 Afryka 58,636,412 +42.6% 27.3
23 Republika Południowej Afryki 79,177,328 Afryka 65,453,085 +21.0% 33.4
24 Niemcy 78,294,613 Europa 83,644,258 -6.4% 48.9
25 Afganistan 76,885,135 Azja 45,047,069 +70.7% 24.1
26 Wielka Brytania 75,504,681 Europa 69,931,528 +8.0% 43.9
27 Angola 74,295,395 Afryka 40,215,180 +84.7% 22.0
28 Irak 71,928,750 Azja 48,007,437 +49.8% 28.8
29 Jemen 70,976,403 Azja 42,961,653 +65.2% 25.1
30 Francja 68,219,675 Europa 66,746,401 +2.2% 44.5
31 Tajlandia 66,382,735 Azja 71,559,615 -7.2% 49.6
32 Mozambik 63,530,952 Afryka 36,639,851 +73.4% 22.7
33 Algieria 59,565,555 Afryka 48,028,334 +24.0% 35.6
34 Kolumbia 59,385,357 LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN 53,936,226 +10.1% 44.7
35 Mjanma 58,623,232 Azja 55,184,819 +6.2% 37.4
36 Wybrzeże Kości Słoniowej 55,746,985 Afryka 33,494,346 +66.4% 23.6
37 Madagaskar 53,185,475 Afryka 33,522,052 +58.7% 25.2
38 Niger 52,513,876 Afryka 28,814,878 +82.2% 22.3
39 Uzbekistan 52,210,755 Azja 37,724,223 +38.4% 29.2
40 Włochy 51,891,099 Europa 58,926,167 -11.9% 53.9
41 Kamerun 51,096,317 Afryka 30,640,817 +66.8% 24.1
42 Ghana 50,553,047 Afryka 35,697,557 +41.6% 28.0
43 Argentyna 48,308,944 LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN 46,003,734 +5.0% 42.9
44 Arabia Saudyjska 47,693,910 Azja 35,165,787 +35.6% 33.0
45 Mali 46,154,079 Afryka 25,932,275 +78.0% 21.3
46 Kanada 45,621,882 NORTHERN AMERICA 40,467,728 +12.7% 46.1
47 Korea Południowa 45,143,134 Azja 51,600,388 -12.5% 57.8
48 Hiszpania 44,928,558 Europa 47,850,793 -6.1% 52.8
49 Malezja 44,289,773 Azja 36,385,115 +21.7% 41.2
50 Maroko 43,440,431 Afryka 38,762,441 +12.1% 38.4
51 Peru 40,583,876 LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN 34,922,148 +16.2% 40.1
52 Czad 38,857,686 Afryka 21,560,380 +80.2% 20.8
53 Zambia 38,083,386 Afryka 22,521,916 +69.1% 24.6
54 Syria 37,793,372 Azja 26,472,497 +42.8% 33.1
55 Malawi 37,361,683 Afryka 22,785,535 +64.0% 25.6
56 Burkina Faso 37,304,383 Afryka 24,601,700 +51.6% 25.8
57 Somalia 37,206,512 Afryka 20,305,907 +83.2% 21.2
58 Nepal 34,642,027 Azja 29,629,410 +16.9% 36.0
59 Polska 32,814,097 Europa 37,843,189 -13.3% 52.6
60 Australia 32,506,970 Oceania 27,227,096 +19.4% 43.0
61 Ukraina 31,990,132 Europa 39,535,849 -19.1% 52.0
62 Wenezuela 31,094,883 LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN 28,633,711 +8.6% 37.5
63 Senegal 30,364,954 Afryka 19,366,548 +56.8% 26.7
64 Kazachstan 26,544,265 Azja 21,083,627 +25.9% 32.2
65 Zimbabwe 25,866,385 Afryka 17,273,580 +49.7% 24.6
66 Korea Północna 25,787,128 Azja 26,633,691 -3.2% 43.9
67 Sri Lanka 24,813,690 Azja 23,348,315 +6.3% 41.2
68 Gwatemala 24,670,857 LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN 18,967,978 +30.1% 34.0
69 Benin 24,433,810 Afryka 15,170,420 +61.1% 24.0
70 Burundi 24,131,720 Afryka 14,729,157 +63.8% 23.6
71 Gwinea 23,404,584 Afryka 15,441,993 +51.6% 25.3
72 Rwanda 22,707,910 Afryka 14,889,693 +52.5% 26.8
73 Kambodża 21,931,455 Azja 18,051,220 +21.5% 33.2
74 Ekwador 21,337,238 LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN 18,444,507 +15.7% 40.6
75 Chile 20,320,307 LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN 19,945,850 +1.9% 49.9
76 Holandia 18,958,475 Europa 18,448,776 +2.8% 46.5
77 Sudan Południowy 18,341,974 Afryka 12,436,037 +47.5% 26.0
78 Jordania 16,367,355 Azja 11,589,533 +41.2% 33.3
79 Boliwia 16,110,162 LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN 12,749,291 +26.4% 32.9
80 Rumunia 16,027,267 Europa 18,800,605 -14.8% 47.3
81 Togo 15,584,778 Afryka 9,930,919 +56.9% 24.3
82 Tadżykistan 15,574,643 Azja 10,978,599 +41.9% 28.8
83 Zjednoczone Emiraty Arabskie 15,367,392 Azja 11,574,682 +32.8% 33.5
84 Papua-Nowa Gwinea 14,906,590 Oceania 10,947,848 +36.2% 29.5
85 Honduras 14,846,779 LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN 11,184,760 +32.7% 33.3
86 Haiti 14,710,862 LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN 12,037,506 +22.2% 32.1
87 Tunezja 13,145,141 Afryka 12,415,139 +5.9% 41.4
88 Izrael 13,092,722 Azja 9,647,689 +35.7% 33.2
89 Dominikana 12,996,293 LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN 11,609,500 +11.9% 37.2
90 Sierra Leone 12,948,325 Afryka 8,996,745 +43.9% 27.4
91 Belgia 11,870,906 Europa 11,774,643 +0.8% 46.3
92 Szwecja 11,309,631 Europa 10,701,047 +5.7% 45.1
93 Azerbejdżan 11,224,923 Azja 10,454,855 +7.4% 40.8
94 Kongo (ujednoznacznienie) 11,006,472 Afryka 6,637,786 +65.8% 24.1
95 Republika Środkowoafrykańska 10,616,753 Afryka 5,698,984 +86.3% 20.2
96 Czechy 9,825,544 Europa 10,527,781 -6.7% 47.1
97 Portugalia 9,770,271 Europa 10,395,363 -6.0% 49.3
98 Laos 9,757,286 Azja 7,974,018 +22.4% 34.0
99 Kirgistan 9,642,953 Azja 7,400,465 +30.3% 31.5
100 Turkmenistan 9,639,708 Azja 7,736,632 +24.6% 33.8
101 Mauretania 9,415,598 Afryka 5,461,319 +72.4% 23.4
102 Kuba 9,382,000 LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN 10,892,659 -13.9% 50.9
103 Szwajcaria 9,342,586 Europa 9,007,798 +3.7% 48.8
104 Libia 9,260,606 Afryka 7,539,852 +22.8% 37.3
105 Liberia 8,910,530 Afryka 5,853,949 +52.2% 25.7
106 Grecja 8,812,070 Europa 9,897,116 -11.0% 50.9
107 Nikaragua 8,756,430 LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN 7,097,329 +23.4% 35.9
108 Węgry 8,725,347 Europa 9,585,818 -9.0% 46.5
109 Austria 8,724,332 Europa 9,107,266 -4.2% 50.2
110 Paragwaj 8,640,464 LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN 7,095,280 +21.8% 34.5
111 Palestyna (państwo) 8,451,891 Azja 5,692,790 +48.5% 29.0
112 Oman 7,827,002 Azja 5,671,459 +38.0% 32.4
113 Białoruś 7,453,546 Europa 8,937,018 -16.6% 49.1
114 Liban 6,999,260 Azja 5,897,467 +18.7% 37.5
115 Salwador 6,663,346 LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN 6,391,254 +4.3% 39.9
116 Kuwejt 6,367,756 Azja 5,102,773 +24.8% 36.5
117 Dania 6,124,838 Europa 6,023,521 +1.7% 45.3
118 Hongkong 6,090,619 Azja 7,378,602 -17.5% 62.9
119 Singapur 6,081,692 Azja 5,905,748 +3.0% 51.9
120 Irlandia (wyspa) 5,970,042 Europa 5,356,950 +11.4% 43.9
121 Norwegia 5,899,829 Europa 5,652,989 +4.4% 46.5
122 Nowa Zelandia 5,755,288 Oceania 5,287,479 +8.8% 43.7
123 Erytrea 5,696,062 Afryka 3,682,669 +54.7% 26.1
124 Panama 5,630,680 LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN 4,625,718 +21.7% 39.2
125 Serbia 5,532,870 Europa 6,641,964 -16.7% 49.4
126 Bułgaria 5,402,217 Europa 6,667,660 -19.0% 49.0
127 Kostaryka 5,354,151 LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN 5,174,789 +3.5% 47.9
128 Finlandia 5,351,645 Europa 5,621,739 -4.8% 47.5
129 Słowacja 4,936,488 Europa 5,451,342 -9.4% 50.3
130 Namibia 4,512,301 Afryka 3,153,246 +43.1% 28.8
131 Mongolia 4,501,493 Azja 3,556,798 +26.6% 32.9
132 Gambia 4,301,896 Afryka 2,884,080 +49.2% 27.1
133 Katar 4,164,461 Azja 3,173,560 +31.2% 33.2
134 Gabon 4,084,533 Afryka 2,647,400 +54.3% 26.6
135 Georgia (ujednoznacznienie) 3,664,014 Azja 3,804,642 -3.7% 41.5
136 Gwinea Bissau 3,438,608 Afryka 2,297,808 +49.6% 26.8
137 Botswana 3,437,430 Afryka 2,603,388 +32.0% 31.4
138 Urugwaj 3,254,355 LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN 3,382,537 -3.8% 46.1
139 Chorwacja 3,234,160 Europa 3,822,345 -15.4% 50.1
140 Gwinea Równikowa 3,143,728 Afryka 1,984,468 +58.4% 25.4
141 Lesotho 2,993,077 Afryka 2,389,336 +25.3% 29.8
142 Portoryko 2,503,995 LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN 3,222,688 -22.3% 55.7
143 Armenia 2,495,207 Azja 2,930,915 -14.9% 46.2
144 Bośnia i Hercegowina 2,455,167 Europa 3,114,242 -21.2% 52.5
145 Jamajka 2,454,940 LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN 2,833,404 -13.4% 47.0
146 Mołdawia 2,351,809 Europa 2,961,254 -20.6% 41.9
147 Litwa 2,258,774 Europa 2,797,338 -19.3% 51.3
148 Albania 2,240,166 Europa 2,751,025 -18.6% 51.9
149 Bahrajn 2,139,465 Azja 1,675,572 +27.7% 36.0
150 Słowenia 1,981,553 Europa 2,114,574 -6.3% 49.0
151 Timor Wschodni 1,889,250 Azja 1,436,923 +31.5% 32.2
152 Dżibuti 1,530,540 Afryka 1,199,460 +27.6% 32.2
153 Łotwa 1,513,810 Europa 1,835,935 -17.5% 49.0
154 Macedonia 1,512,688 Europa 1,804,063 -16.2% 48.7
155 Cypr 1,508,482 Azja 1,382,335 +9.1% 48.6
156 Suazi 1,505,331 Afryka 1,269,859 +18.5% 30.4
157 Trynidad i Tobago 1,399,800 LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN 1,513,268 -7.5% 46.7
158 Wyspy Salomona 1,309,110 Oceania 858,288 +52.5% 27.5
159 Komory 1,307,558 Afryka 899,010 +45.4% 26.4
160 Estonia 1,174,268 Europa 1,331,062 -11.8% 49.4
161 Mauritius 1,107,197 Afryka 1,265,059 -12.5% 50.1
162 Fidżi 1,000,261 Oceania 937,282 +6.7% 34.3
163 Reunion 941,413 Afryka 886,298 +6.2% 42.5
164 Gujana 940,608 LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN 840,890 +11.9% 33.3
165 Bhutan 882,340 Azja 802,214 +10.0% 43.1
166 Luksemburg 791,464 Europa 687,449 +15.1% 46.6
167 Sahara Zachodnia 777,316 Afryka 610,813 +27.3% 37.6
168 Surinam 733,905 LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN 645,257 +13.7% 36.8
169 Makau 668,860 Azja 723,189 -7.5% 57.0
170 Majotta 645,426 Afryka 347,536 +85.7% 23.6
171 Malediwy 589,963 Azja 531,517 +11.0% 50.3
172 Republika Zielonego Przylądka 566,134 Afryka 529,630 +6.9% 41.8
173 Malta 535,722 Europa 549,011 -2.4% 53.9
174 Vanuatu 534,388 Oceania 342,564 +56.0% 26.3
175 Czarnogóra 533,295 Europa 626,233 -14.8% 46.0
176 Brunei 519,551 Azja 469,775 +10.6% 42.3
177 Belize 516,627 LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN 428,645 +20.5% 38.9
178 Gujana Francuska 471,917 LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN 318,872 +48.0% 29.6
179 Islandia 432,993 Europa 402,329 +7.6% 45.9
180 Bahamy 424,265 LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN 404,629 +4.9% 43.6
181 Wyspy Świętego Tomasza i Książęca 365,115 Afryka 244,994 +49.0% 25.9
182 Nowa Kaledonia 340,581 Oceania 297,893 +14.3% 41.6
183 Gwadelupa 326,318 LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN 372,453 -12.4% 46.7
184 Polinezja Francuska 284,751 Oceania 283,076 +0.6% 48.5
185 Martynika 282,070 LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN 337,711 -16.5% 49.4
186 Samoa 272,726 Oceania 220,528 +23.7% 25.0
187 Barbados 264,216 LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN 282,725 -6.5% 45.3
188 Guam 191,459 Oceania 170,185 +12.5% 35.7
189 Kiribati 182,622 Oceania 138,445 +31.9% 28.6
190 Curaçao (terytorium) 173,498 LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN 185,441 -6.4% 48.2
191 Saint Lucia 172,081 LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN 180,488 -4.7% 46.6
192 Seszele 141,747 Afryka 134,959 +5.0% 43.5
193 Mikronezja (wyspy) 126,408 Oceania 114,183 +10.7% 30.2
194 Grenada 113,244 LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN 117,362 -3.5% 45.3
195 Tonga 105,195 Oceania 103,291 +1.8% 27.5
196 Aruba 100,002 LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN 108,164 -7.5% 45.2
197 Antigua i Barbuda 95,055 LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN 94,626 +0.5% 46.7
198 Saint Vincent i Grenadyny 88,942 LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN 99,245 -10.4% 40.9
199 Wyspy Dziewicze Stanów Zjednoczonych 71,226 LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN 83,401 -14.6% 43.4
200 Monako 36,757 Europa 38,087 -3.5% 43.8

The next 25 years, country by country

Under the UN's medium-variant projection, India is set to remain the world's most populous country in 2050 at roughly 1.68 billion people, up from about 1.48 billion in 2026. China, by contrast, is projected to keep shrinking from its current 1.41 billion to around 1.26 billion — a decline of more than 150 million people in 25 years, larger than the current population of Russia. The United States is projected to reach about 381 million, keeping its position as the third most populous country, with continued (if slower) growth driven mostly by immigration rather than fertility. Nigeria is the country to watch furthest down the table: projected to grow from about 242 million today to 359 million by 2050, it would overtake the United States to become the world's third most populous country within a generation.

Growth concentrates in Africa, decline concentrates in Europe

Almost every country projected to add substantially to its population by 2050 is in Sub-Saharan Africa — a direct consequence of the age structure visible in our median age ranking, where the region's broad-based, young populations guarantee further growth even under falling fertility. The mirror image holds for Europe and East Asia, where the countries topping our shrinking populations ranking are, unsurprisingly, projected to keep declining through 2050 rather than recovering.

How much to trust a 25-year projection

A 2050 projection is built almost entirely on people who are already alive today — the parents of 2050 are already born, so total population 25 years out is far more predictable than fertility or migration alone would suggest. The main source of uncertainty is fertility: small changes compound over 25 years, especially in countries currently in the middle of their fertility transition. Treat this table as the UN's central estimate, not a guarantee — see our 2100 projection for how much wider the range of outcomes becomes over a longer horizon.

Najczęściej zadawane pytania

Ile krajów obejmuje ten ranking?

Ta tabela obejmuje 200 krajów i terytoriów, uszeregowanych na podstawie danych ONZ World Population Prospects.

Który kraj będzie miał największą liczbę ludności w 2050 roku?

Przewiduje się, że Indie będzie miał największą liczbę ludności w 2050 roku — 1,679,589,259 osób.

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