Fertility in Gambia, 2040
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2040
Total fertility rate: 2.71
The total fertility rate of Gambia is projected at 2.71 children per woman in 2040 — above the replacement level of about 2.1. Births are projected to be most frequent among women aged 25-29 (148 per 1,000 women in that age group), and the average mother would be 29.7 years old. In total, 84,742 babies are projected to be born. Source: United Nations, World Population Prospects 2024 (medium-variant projection).
Key indicators, 2040
Total fertility rate
2.71
Births
84,742
Births per 1,000 people
22.7
Mean age of mothers
29.7
Births to mothers aged 15–19
7.3%
Net reproduction rate
1.25
Boys per 100 girls at birth
103.2
Population
3,732,798
The net reproduction rate counts only daughters who survive to their mothers' age: below 1, each generation of women is smaller than the one before.
Fertility by age of mother, 2040
| Mother's age | Births per 1,000 women | Share of total fertility | Births |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10-14 | 0.2 | 0.0% | 35 |
| 15-19 | 32.9 | 6.1% | 6,171 |
| 20-24 | 109.4 | 20.1% | 19,289 |
| 25-29 | 147.5 | 27.1% | 25,250 |
| 30-34 | 132.7 | 24.4% | 19,588 |
| 35-39 | 83.9 | 15.4% | 10,429 |
| 40-44 | 30.5 | 5.6% | 3,342 |
| 45-49 | 6.5 | 1.2% | 615 |
| 50-54 | 0.3 | 0.1% | 25 |
Fertility in Gambia by year