Fertility in Jamaica, 2040
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2040
Total fertility rate: 1.37
The total fertility rate of Jamaica is projected at 1.37 children per woman in 2040 — below the replacement level of about 2.1. Births are projected to be most frequent among women aged 20-24 (73 per 1,000 women in that age group), and the average mother would be 28.2 years old. In total, 23,320 babies are projected to be born. Source: United Nations, World Population Prospects 2024 (medium-variant projection).
Key indicators, 2040
Total fertility rate
1.37
Births
23,320
Births per 1,000 people
8.7
Mean age of mothers
28.2
Births to mothers aged 15–19
9.3%
Net reproduction rate
0.66
Boys per 100 girls at birth
103.9
Population
2,676,100
The net reproduction rate counts only daughters who survive to their mothers' age: below 1, each generation of women is smaller than the one before.
Fertility by age of mother, 2040
| Mother's age | Births per 1,000 women | Share of total fertility | Births |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10-14 | 0.2 | 0.1% | 14 |
| 15-19 | 29.7 | 10.9% | 2,172 |
| 20-24 | 72.6 | 26.6% | 5,508 |
| 25-29 | 69.1 | 25.3% | 5,630 |
| 30-34 | 47.7 | 17.4% | 4,399 |
| 35-39 | 39.4 | 14.4% | 3,944 |
| 40-44 | 13.8 | 5.1% | 1,565 |
| 45-49 | 0.7 | 0.3% | 88 |
| 50-54 | 0.0 | 0.0% | 0 |
Fertility in Jamaica by year