Fertility in Bulgaria, 2040
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2040
Total fertility rate: 1.71
The total fertility rate of Bulgaria is projected at 1.71 children per woman in 2040 — below the replacement level of about 2.1. Births are projected to be most frequent among women aged 30-34 (111 per 1,000 women in that age group), and the average mother would be 30.7 years old. In total, 52,026 babies are projected to be born. Source: United Nations, World Population Prospects 2024 (medium-variant projection).
Key indicators, 2040
Total fertility rate
1.71
Births
52,026
Births per 1,000 people
8.8
Mean age of mothers
30.7
Births to mothers aged 15–19
2.7%
Net reproduction rate
0.82
Boys per 100 girls at birth
106.0
Population
5,907,728
The net reproduction rate counts only daughters who survive to their mothers' age: below 1, each generation of women is smaller than the one before.
Fertility by age of mother, 2040
| Mother's age | Births per 1,000 women | Share of total fertility | Births |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10-14 | 0.1 | 0.0% | 16 |
| 15-19 | 9.5 | 2.8% | 1,381 |
| 20-24 | 44.0 | 12.9% | 6,550 |
| 25-29 | 99.8 | 29.1% | 15,407 |
| 30-34 | 111.3 | 32.5% | 17,378 |
| 35-39 | 61.0 | 17.8% | 8,835 |
| 40-44 | 15.2 | 4.4% | 2,189 |
| 45-49 | 1.5 | 0.4% | 262 |
| 50-54 | 0.0 | 0.0% | 6 |
Fertility in Bulgaria by year