Fertility in Turkey, 2040
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2040
Total fertility rate: 1.61
The total fertility rate of Turkey is projected at 1.61 children per woman in 2040 — below the replacement level of about 2.1. Births are projected to be most frequent among women aged 30-34 (109 per 1,000 women in that age group), and the average mother would be 30.8 years old. In total, 941,351 babies are projected to be born. Source: United Nations, World Population Prospects 2024 (medium-variant projection).
Key indicators, 2040
Total fertility rate
1.61
Births
941,351
Births per 1,000 people
10.3
Mean age of mothers
30.8
Births to mothers aged 15–19
1.6%
Net reproduction rate
0.78
Boys per 100 girls at birth
104.7
Population
91,009,681
The net reproduction rate counts only daughters who survive to their mothers' age: below 1, each generation of women is smaller than the one before.
Fertility by age of mother, 2040
| Mother's age | Births per 1,000 women | Share of total fertility | Births |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10-14 | 0.0 | 0.0% | 44 |
| 15-19 | 6.0 | 1.9% | 15,091 |
| 20-24 | 39.9 | 12.4% | 113,431 |
| 25-29 | 97.1 | 30.2% | 286,968 |
| 30-34 | 108.7 | 33.8% | 306,712 |
| 35-39 | 55.8 | 17.3% | 169,741 |
| 40-44 | 13.3 | 4.1% | 45,505 |
| 45-49 | 1.2 | 0.4% | 3,783 |
| 50-54 | 0.0 | 0.0% | 77 |
Fertility in Turkey by year