Fertility in Italy, 2040
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2040
Total fertility rate: 1.30
The total fertility rate of Italy is projected at 1.30 children per woman in 2040 — below the replacement level of about 2.1. Births are projected to be most frequent among women aged 30-34 (92 per 1,000 women in that age group), and the average mother would be 32.3 years old. In total, 381,655 babies are projected to be born. Source: United Nations, World Population Prospects 2024 (medium-variant projection).
Key indicators, 2040
Total fertility rate
1.30
Births
381,655
Births per 1,000 people
6.9
Mean age of mothers
32.3
Births to mothers aged 15–19
0.8%
Net reproduction rate
0.63
Boys per 100 girls at birth
105.8
Population
55,221,168
The net reproduction rate counts only daughters who survive to their mothers' age: below 1, each generation of women is smaller than the one before.
Fertility by age of mother, 2040
| Mother's age | Births per 1,000 women | Share of total fertility | Births |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10-14 | 0.0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 15-19 | 3.2 | 1.2% | 3,217 |
| 20-24 | 22.5 | 8.6% | 28,163 |
| 25-29 | 60.6 | 23.1% | 88,498 |
| 30-34 | 92.3 | 35.2% | 142,152 |
| 35-39 | 65.2 | 24.9% | 94,170 |
| 40-44 | 16.6 | 6.3% | 22,860 |
| 45-49 | 1.7 | 0.7% | 2,559 |
| 50-54 | 0.0 | 0.0% | 31 |
Fertility in Italy by year