Population Pyramids of the World from 1950 to 2100

Italy Population Pyramid 2040

Italy
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2040
Population: 55,221,167

Year

-5 -1   2040  +1 +5

Country

A B C D E F G H I J K L M N O P Q R S T U V W Y Z
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Summary

Italy in 2040

In 2040, Italy is projected to have a population of 55,221,168 people. Ten years before, in 2030, the projected population is still 57,946,072 — a ten-year decline of 4.7%.

With a projected median age of 53.1 years, Italy would have a youth dependency ratio of 18.8 and an old-age dependency ratio of 61.8 per 100 people of working age. The pyramid is constrictive: cohorts of children are smaller than those of their parents, reflecting low fertility and an ageing population.

Ranks #34 of 201 by population Ranks #5 of 201 by median age Ranks #176 of 201 by growth

Share of the population by age group, 1950–2100

Data source: United Nations World Population Prospects, 2024 revision (medium variant) — last updated July 2024.

Key indicators for Italy
Population
55,221,168
Median age
53.1
0-14 %
10.4%
65+ %
34.2%
Child dependency
18.8
Old-age dependency
61.8
Region
EUROPE
Pyramid shape
Constrictive
Population 2050
51,891,099
Population 2100
35,376,822
What is driving the change
Births per woman
Total fertility rate, 1960–2023
123
1960Replacement level (2.1)2023 · 1.2

The fertility rate of Italy was 1.20 births per woman in 2023, under the 2.1 needed to replace each generation.

Source: World Bank World Development Indicators, latest available year.

Life expectancy at birth
Years, 1960–2023
Total Women Men
60708090
19602023 · 83.7

Life expectancy at birth was 83.7 years in 2023: 85.8 for women and 81.7 for men.

Source: World Bank World Development Indicators, latest available year.

People supported per 100 workers
Dependency ratios, 1950–2100
Children Older adults
20406080
19502100
Migration to and from Italy
Where immigrants come from (2024)

6,551,499 immigrants live in Italy, 11.0% of the population.

Romania880,402
Albania542,638
Morocco472,734
Ukraine396,128
China240,895
Where emigrants live (2024)

2,934,780 people born in Italy live in other countries.

Germany436,759
United States of America360,987
United Kingdom342,143
France303,685
Switzerland273,822
Explore
Immigration statistics Origin of migrant stocks map

Source: United Nations International Migrant Stock 2024.

How Italy compares with its neighbours
Country Population Median age Relative size
Italy 55,221,168 53.1
Spain 46,591,674 52.0
Portugal 10,082,256 50.1
Greece 9,275,613 51.4
Serbia 5,987,456 48.5
Frequently asked questions about Italy's population
How many people are projected to live in Italy in 2040?
Italy is projected to have a population of 55,221,168 in 2040.
Is the population of Italy increasing or decreasing?
Yes, shrinking: down 4.7% from 2030, with a projected population of 51,891,099 in 2050.
What is the median age in Italy?
The median age in Italy is 53.1 years — half the population is younger, half older.
What share of Italy's population is over 65 or under 15?
In Italy, 10.4% of people are under 15 and 34.2% are 65 or older.
What shape is Italy's population pyramid, and what does it mean?
Italy has a constrictive pyramid: cohorts of children are smaller than those of their parents, reflecting low fertility and an ageing population.

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