Fertility in Estonia, 2040
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2040
Total fertility rate: 1.47
The total fertility rate of Estonia is projected at 1.47 children per woman in 2040 — below the replacement level of about 2.1. Births are projected to be most frequent among women aged 30-34 (101 per 1,000 women in that age group), and the average mother would be 31.7 years old. In total, 10,351 babies are projected to be born. Source: United Nations, World Population Prospects 2024 (medium-variant projection).
Key indicators, 2040
Total fertility rate
1.47
Births
10,351
Births per 1,000 people
8.4
Mean age of mothers
31.7
Births to mothers aged 15–19
1.0%
Net reproduction rate
0.71
Boys per 100 girls at birth
106.0
Population
1,236,787
The net reproduction rate counts only daughters who survive to their mothers' age: below 1, each generation of women is smaller than the one before.
Fertility by age of mother, 2040
| Mother's age | Births per 1,000 women | Share of total fertility | Births |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10-14 | 0.0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 15-19 | 3.7 | 1.2% | 102 |
| 20-24 | 28.7 | 9.7% | 1,010 |
| 25-29 | 83.3 | 28.2% | 3,028 |
| 30-34 | 101.2 | 34.2% | 3,797 |
| 35-39 | 59.2 | 20.0% | 1,813 |
| 40-44 | 17.0 | 5.8% | 505 |
| 45-49 | 2.4 | 0.8% | 91 |
| 50-54 | 0.1 | 0.0% | 3 |
Fertility in Estonia by year