Fertility in Melanesia, 2040
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2040
Total fertility rate: 2.56
Total fertility rate, 1950–2100 · click to pick a year
Year
2040The total fertility rate of Melanesia is projected at 2.56 children per woman in 2040 — above the replacement level of about 2.1. Births are projected to be most frequent among women aged 25-29 (131 per 1,000 women in that age group), and the average mother would be 29.0 years old. In total, 322,503 babies are projected to be born. Source: United Nations, World Population Prospects 2024 (medium-variant projection).
Key indicators, 2040
Total fertility rate
2.56
Births
322,503
Births per 1,000 people
19.8
Mean age of mothers
29.0
Births to mothers aged 15–19
9.2%
Net reproduction rate
1.18
Boys per 100 girls at birth
107.5
Population
16,274,486
The net reproduction rate counts only daughters who survive to their mothers' age: below 1, each generation of women is smaller than the one before.
Fertility by age of mother, 2040
| Mother's age | Births per 1,000 women | Share of total fertility | Births |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10-14 | 0.5 | 0.1% | 391 |
| 15-19 | 41.7 | 8.1% | 29,557 |
| 20-24 | 123.5 | 24.1% | 85,163 |
| 25-29 | 130.6 | 25.5% | 85,196 |
| 30-34 | 108.3 | 21.1% | 64,694 |
| 35-39 | 75.5 | 14.7% | 41,503 |
| 40-44 | 27.2 | 5.3% | 13,770 |
| 45-49 | 4.6 | 0.9% | 2,138 |
| 50-54 | 0.2 | 0.0% | 90 |
Fertility in Melanesia by year