Bulgaria Population Pyramid 2040

Bulgaria
2040
Population: 5,907,727

Year

-5 -1   2040  +1 +5

Country

A B C D E F G H I J K L M N O P Q R S T U V W Y Z
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Bulgaria in 2040

In 2040, Bulgaria is projected to have a population of 5,907,728 people. That would be 8.5% less than in 2030 (6,458,243).

With a projected median age of 49.3 years, Bulgaria would have a youth dependency ratio of 22.5 and an old-age dependency ratio of 43.2 per 100 people of working age. The narrow base of the pyramid marks a constrictive age structure: fertility below replacement level and a rising share of older people.

Share of the population by age group, 1950–2100

Data source: United Nations World Population Prospects, 2024 revision (medium variant) — last updated July 2024.

Population
5,907,728
Median age
49.3
0-14 %
13.6%
65+ %
26.1%
Child dependency
22.5
Old-age dependency
43.2
Region
Pyramid shape
Population 2050
5,402,217
Population 2100
3,531,198
Births per woman
Total fertility rate, 1960–2023
123
1960Replacement level (2.1)2023 · 1.81

In 2023 women in Bulgaria had on average 1.81 children, below the replacement level of 2.1.

Source: World Bank World Development Indicators, latest available year.

Life expectancy at birth
Years, 1960–2023
Total Women Men
60708090
19602023 · 75.7

Life expectancy at birth was 75.7 years in 2023: 79.6 for women and 72.0 for men.

Source: World Bank World Development Indicators, latest available year.

People supported per 100 workers
Dependency ratios, 1950–2100
Children Older adults
15304560
19502100
Where immigrants come from (2024)

298,157 immigrants live in Bulgaria, 4.4% of the population.

Ukraine61,074
Russian Federation45,089
Syrian Arab Republic24,543
Turkey19,877
Germany17,311
Where emigrants live (2024)

1,252,123 people born in Bulgaria live in other countries.

Turkey348,052
Germany338,439
Spain103,587
Greece78,992
Netherlands58,481
Explore
Immigration statistics Origin of migrant stocks map

Source: United Nations International Migrant Stock 2024.

Country Population Median age Relative size
Bulgaria 5,907,728 49.3
Slovakia 5,192,010 48.9
Belarus 8,064,466 48.4
Hungary 9,067,617 46.8
Republic of Moldova 2,568,810 43.7
How many people are projected to live in Bulgaria in 2040?
Bulgaria is projected to have a population of 5,907,728 in 2040.
Is the population of Bulgaria increasing or decreasing?
Yes, shrinking: down 8.5% from 2030, with a projected population of 5,402,217 in 2050.
How old is the population of Bulgaria?
The median age in Bulgaria is 49.3 years — half the population is younger, half older.
What share of Bulgaria's population is over 65 or under 15?
26.1% of Bulgaria's population is 65 or older, and 13.6% is under 15.
What shape is Bulgaria's population pyramid, and what does it mean?
Bulgaria has a constrictive pyramid: cohorts of children are smaller than those of their parents, reflecting low fertility and an ageing population.

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