Belarus Population Pyramid 2038
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2038
Population:
8,187,277
Summary
Belarus in 2038
In 2038, Belarus is projected to have a population of 8,187,278 people. Ten years before, in 2028, the projected population is still 8,813,861 — a ten-year decline of 7.1%.
Half of the population would be younger than 47.8 years, with 11.0% children under 15 and 23.2% aged 65 or older. This is a constrictive pyramid — its base is narrower than its middle, the signature of sustained low birth rates and population ageing.
Data source: United Nations World Population Prospects, 2024 revision (medium variant) — last updated July 2024.
Key indicators for Belarus
Population
8,187,278
Median age
47.8
0-14 %
11.0%
65+ %
23.2%
Child dependency
16.7
Old-age dependency
35.2
Region
Pyramid shape
Population 2050
7,453,546
Population 2100
4,350,962
What is driving the change
Births per woman
Total fertility rate, 1960–2023
123
1960Replacement level (2.1)2023 · 1.21
The fertility rate of Belarus was 1.21 births per woman in 2023, under the 2.1 needed to replace each generation.
Source: World Bank World Development Indicators, latest available year.
Life expectancy at birth
Years, 1960–2023
Total
Women
Men
5060708090
19602023 · 74.2
A child born there in 2023 could expect to live 74.2 years on average (79.1 years for girls, 69.5 for boys).
Source: World Bank World Development Indicators, latest available year.
People supported per 100 workers
Dependency ratios, 1950–2100
Children
Older adults
20406080
19502100
Migration to and from Belarus
Where immigrants come from (2024)
1,054,304 immigrants live in Belarus, 11.6% of the population.
| Russian Federation | 664,610 |
| Ukraine | 219,832 |
| Kazakhstan | 68,126 |
| Lithuania | 16,930 |
| Uzbekistan | 14,400 |
Where emigrants live (2024)
790,229 people born in Belarus live in other countries.
| Russian Federation | 255,159 |
| Ukraine | 252,977 |
| Poland | 56,258 |
| Latvia | 38,908 |
| Lithuania | 35,625 |
Explore
Immigration statistics
Origin of migrant stocks map
Source: United Nations International Migrant Stock 2024.
How Belarus compares with its neighbours
| Country | Population | Median age | Relative size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Belarus | 8,187,278 | 47.8 | |
| Hungary | 9,143,649 | 46.6 | |
| Czech Republic | 10,168,994 | 48.0 | |
| Bulgaria | 6,016,846 | 48.8 | |
| Slovakia | 5,239,773 | 48.4 |
Frequently asked questions about Belarus's population
How many people are projected to live in Belarus in 2038?
UN projections put Belarus's population at 8,187,278 in 2038.
Is the population of Belarus increasing or decreasing?
Yes, shrinking: down 7.1% from 2028, with a projected population of 7,453,546 in 2050.
What is the median age in Belarus?
Belarus's median age is 47.8 years.
How many children and older people live in Belarus?
In Belarus, 11.0% of people are under 15 and 23.2% are 65 or older.
What shape is Belarus's population pyramid, and what does it mean?
Belarus's pyramid is constrictive — narrower at the base than the middle, the signature of sustained low fertility and population ageing.
