Bulgaria Population Pyramid 2030
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2030
Population:
6,458,242
Summary
Bulgaria in 2030
By 2030, the population of Bulgaria is expected to reach 6,458,243. Ten years before, in 2020, the projected population is still 6,933,652 — a ten-year decline of 6.9%.
Half of the population would be younger than 46.9 years, with 14.0% children under 15 and 23.2% aged 65 or older. The narrow base of the pyramid marks a constrictive age structure: fertility below replacement level and a rising share of older people.
Data source: United Nations World Population Prospects, 2024 revision (medium variant) — last updated July 2024.
Key indicators for Bulgaria
Population
6,458,243
Median age
46.9
0-14 %
14.0%
65+ %
23.2%
Child dependency
22.4
Old-age dependency
37.0
Region
Pyramid shape
Population 2050
5,402,217
Population 2100
3,531,198
What is driving the change
Births per woman
Total fertility rate, 1960–2023
123
1960Replacement level (2.1)2023 · 1.81
In 2023 women in Bulgaria had on average 1.81 children, below the replacement level of 2.1.
Source: World Bank World Development Indicators, latest available year.
Life expectancy at birth
Years, 1960–2023
Total
Women
Men
60708090
19602023 · 75.7
Life expectancy at birth was 75.7 years in 2023: 79.6 for women and 72.0 for men.
Source: World Bank World Development Indicators, latest available year.
People supported per 100 workers
Dependency ratios, 1950–2100
Children
Older adults
15304560
19502100
Migration to and from Bulgaria
Where immigrants come from (2024)
298,157 immigrants live in Bulgaria, 4.4% of the population.
| Ukraine | 61,074 |
| Russian Federation | 45,089 |
| Syrian Arab Republic | 24,543 |
| Turkey | 19,877 |
| Germany | 17,311 |
Where emigrants live (2024)
1,252,123 people born in Bulgaria live in other countries.
| Turkey | 348,052 |
| Germany | 338,439 |
| Spain | 103,587 |
| Greece | 78,992 |
| Netherlands | 58,481 |
Explore
Immigration statistics
Origin of migrant stocks map
Source: United Nations International Migrant Stock 2024.
How Bulgaria compares with its neighbours
| Country | Population | Median age | Relative size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bulgaria | 6,458,243 | 46.9 | |
| Slovakia | 5,401,393 | 45.4 | |
| Belarus | 8,687,633 | 44.5 | |
| Hungary | 9,449,115 | 45.7 | |
| Republic of Moldova | 2,845,242 | 41.7 |
Frequently asked questions about Bulgaria's population
How many people are projected to live in Bulgaria in 2030?
UN projections put Bulgaria's population at 6,458,243 in 2030.
Is Bulgaria's population growing or shrinking?
Bulgaria's population declined 6.9% over the previous ten years, and is projected to reach 5,402,217 by 2050.
What is the median age in Bulgaria?
Bulgaria's median age is 46.9 years.
What share of Bulgaria's population is over 65 or under 15?
In Bulgaria, 14.0% of people are under 15 and 23.2% are 65 or older.
What shape is Bulgaria's population pyramid, and what does it mean?
Bulgaria has a constrictive pyramid: cohorts of children are smaller than those of their parents, reflecting low fertility and an ageing population.
