Population Pyramids of the World from 1950 to 2100

Bulgaria Population Pyramid 2038

Bulgaria
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2038
Population: 6,016,846

Year

-5 -1   2038  +1 +5

Country

A B C D E F G H I J K L M N O P Q R S T U V W Y Z
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Summary

Bulgaria in 2038

By 2038, the population of Bulgaria is expected to reach 6,016,846. That would be 8.4% less than in 2028 (6,566,018).

With a projected median age of 48.8 years, Bulgaria would have a youth dependency ratio of 22.3 and an old-age dependency ratio of 41.2 per 100 people of working age. The pyramid is constrictive: cohorts of children are smaller than those of their parents, reflecting low fertility and an ageing population.

Ranks #121 of 201 by population Ranks #17 of 201 by median age Ranks #198 of 201 by growth

Share of the population by age group, 1950–2100

Data source: United Nations World Population Prospects, 2024 revision (medium variant) — last updated July 2024.

Key indicators for Bulgaria
Population
6,016,846
Median age
48.8
0-14 %
13.6%
65+ %
25.2%
Child dependency
22.3
Old-age dependency
41.2
Region
EUROPE
Pyramid shape
Constrictive
Population 2050
5,402,217
Population 2100
3,531,198
What is driving the change
Births per woman
Total fertility rate, 1960–2023
123
1960Replacement level (2.1)2023 · 1.81

In 2023 women in Bulgaria had on average 1.81 children, below the replacement level of 2.1.

Source: World Bank World Development Indicators, latest available year.

Life expectancy at birth
Years, 1960–2023
Total Women Men
60708090
19602023 · 75.7

Life expectancy at birth was 75.7 years in 2023: 79.6 for women and 72.0 for men.

Source: World Bank World Development Indicators, latest available year.

People supported per 100 workers
Dependency ratios, 1950–2100
Children Older adults
15304560
19502100
Migration to and from Bulgaria
Where immigrants come from (2024)

298,157 immigrants live in Bulgaria, 4.4% of the population.

Ukraine61,074
Russian Federation45,089
Syrian Arab Republic24,543
Turkey19,877
Germany17,311
Where emigrants live (2024)

1,252,123 people born in Bulgaria live in other countries.

Turkey348,052
Germany338,439
Spain103,587
Greece78,992
Netherlands58,481
Explore
Immigration statistics Origin of migrant stocks map

Source: United Nations International Migrant Stock 2024.

How Bulgaria compares with its neighbours
Country Population Median age Relative size
Bulgaria 6,016,846 48.8
Slovakia 5,239,773 48.4
Belarus 8,187,278 47.8
Hungary 9,143,649 46.6
Republic of Moldova 2,620,262 43.7
Frequently asked questions about Bulgaria's population
How many people are projected to live in Bulgaria in 2038?
UN projections put Bulgaria's population at 6,016,846 in 2038.
Is Bulgaria's population growing or shrinking?
Bulgaria's population declined 8.4% over the previous ten years, and is projected to reach 5,402,217 by 2050.
What is the median age in Bulgaria?
The median age in Bulgaria is 48.8 years — half the population is younger, half older.
How many children and older people live in Bulgaria?
In Bulgaria, 13.6% of people are under 15 and 25.2% are 65 or older.
What shape is Bulgaria's population pyramid, and what does it mean?
Bulgaria's pyramid is constrictive — narrower at the base than the middle, the signature of sustained low fertility and population ageing.

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