Population Pyramids of the World from 1950 to 2100

China Population Pyramid 2038

China
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2038
Population: 1,355,722,706

Year

-5 -1   2038  +1 +5

Country

A B C D E F G H I J K L M N O P Q R S T U V W Y Z
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Summary

China in 2038

United Nations projections (medium variant) put the population of China at 1,355,722,707 in 2038. That would be 3.6% less than in 2028 (1,406,136,743).

Half of the population would be younger than 48.4 years, with 9.3% children under 15 and 25.3% aged 65 or older. The narrow base of the pyramid marks a constrictive age structure: fertility below replacement level and a rising share of older people.

Ranks #2 of 201 by population Ranks #20 of 201 by median age Ranks #170 of 201 by growth

Share of the population by age group, 1950–2100

Data source: United Nations World Population Prospects, 2024 revision (medium variant) — last updated July 2024.

Key indicators for China
Population
1,355,722,707
Median age
48.4
0-14 %
9.3%
65+ %
25.3%
Child dependency
14.2
Old-age dependency
38.8
Region
ASIA
Pyramid shape
Constrictive
Population 2050
1,260,289,094
Population 2100
633,368,113
What is driving the change
Births per woman
Total fertility rate, 1960–2023
12345678
1960Replacement level (2.1)2023 · 1.0

The fertility rate of China was 1.00 births per woman in 2023, under the 2.1 needed to replace each generation.

Source: World Bank World Development Indicators, latest available year.

Life expectancy at birth
Years, 1960–2023
Total Women Men
2030405060708090
19602023 · 78.0

A child born there in 2023 could expect to live 78.0 years on average (80.9 years for girls, 75.2 for boys).

Source: World Bank World Development Indicators, latest available year.

People supported per 100 workers
Dependency ratios, 1950–2100
Children Older adults
285582110
19502100
Migration to and from China
Where immigrants come from (2024)

1,565,013 immigrants live in China, 0.1% of the population.

China, Hong Kong SAR421,605
Myanmar367,052
Taiwan170,422
Viet Nam88,254
Republic of Korea65,073
Where emigrants live (2024)

11,696,846 people born in China live in other countries.

China, Hong Kong SAR2,490,414
United States of America2,488,775
Japan809,893
Canada771,973
Republic of Korea756,684
Explore
Immigration statistics Origin of migrant stocks map

Source: United Nations International Migrant Stock 2024.

How China compares with its neighbours
Country Population Median age Relative size
China 1,355,722,707 48.4
Japan 113,633,614 53.9
Republic of Korea 49,541,158 53.4
Dem. People's Republic of Korea 26,646,329 41.5
Taiwan 21,563,593 53.0
Frequently asked questions about China's population
How many people are projected to live in China in 2038?
China is projected to have a population of 1,355,722,707 in 2038.
Is the population of China increasing or decreasing?
Yes, shrinking: down 3.6% from 2028, with a projected population of 1,260,289,094 in 2050.
What is the median age in China?
China's median age is 48.4 years.
What share of China's population is over 65 or under 15?
In China, 9.3% of people are under 15 and 25.3% are 65 or older.
What type of population pyramid does China have?
China has a constrictive pyramid: cohorts of children are smaller than those of their parents, reflecting low fertility and an ageing population.

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