El Salvador Population Pyramid 2038

El Salvador
2038
Population: 6,619,833

Year

-5 -1   2038  +1 +5

Country

A B C D E F G H I J K L M N O P Q R S T U V W Y Z
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El Salvador in 2038

United Nations projections (medium variant) put the population of El Salvador at 6,619,833 in 2038. That would be 2.8% more than in 2028 (6,440,934).

With a projected median age of 35.0 years, El Salvador would have a youth dependency ratio of 29.2 and an old-age dependency ratio of 16.4 per 100 people of working age. The pyramid is stationary: cohort sizes are roughly even through the younger ages, reflecting fertility close to replacement level and slow population change.

Share of the population by age group, 1950–2100

Data source: United Nations World Population Prospects, 2024 revision (medium variant) — last updated July 2024.

Population
6,619,833
Median age
35.0
0-14 %
20.1%
65+ %
11.3%
Child dependency
29.2
Old-age dependency
16.4
Pyramid shape
Population 2050
6,663,346
Population 2100
5,073,225
Births per woman
Total fertility rate, 1960–2023
1234567
1960Replacement level (2.1)2023 · 1.77

In 2023 women in El Salvador had on average 1.77 children, below the replacement level of 2.1.

Source: World Bank World Development Indicators, latest available year.

Life expectancy at birth
Years, 1960–2023
Total Women Men
304050607080
19602023 · 72.1

A child born there in 2023 could expect to live 72.1 years on average (76.3 years for girls, 67.5 for boys).

Source: World Bank World Development Indicators, latest available year.

People supported per 100 workers
Dependency ratios, 1950–2100
Children Older adults
255075100
19502100
Where immigrants come from (2024)

43,170 immigrants live in El Salvador, 0.7% of the population.

Honduras12,039
Guatemala9,157
Nicaragua8,063
United States of America5,562
Mexico1,765
Where emigrants live (2024)

1,834,669 people born in El Salvador live in other countries.

United States of America1,569,946
Mexico55,410
Canada49,004
Spain42,228
Italy24,538
Explore
Immigration statistics Origin of migrant stocks map

Source: United Nations International Migrant Stock 2024.

Country Population Median age Relative size
El Salvador 6,619,833 35.0
Costa Rica 5,355,518 42.8
Panama 5,204,060 35.5
Nicaragua 8,054,135 31.6
Belize 484,878 34.0
What will the population of El Salvador be in 2038?
UN projections put El Salvador's population at 6,619,833 in 2038.
Is El Salvador's population growing or shrinking?
Yes, growing: up 2.8% from 2028, with a projected population of 6,663,346 in 2050.
What is the median age in El Salvador?
The median age in El Salvador is 35.0 years — half the population is younger, half older.
What share of El Salvador's population is over 65 or under 15?
In El Salvador, 20.1% of people are under 15 and 11.3% are 65 or older.
What shape is El Salvador's population pyramid, and what does it mean?
El Salvador's pyramid is stationary — similar-sized cohorts through the younger ages, the signature of near-replacement fertility.

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