French Polynesia Population Pyramid 2038

French Polynesia
2038
Population: 288,904

Year

-5 -1   2038  +1 +5

Country

A B C D E F G H I J K L M N O P Q R S T U V W Y Z
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French Polynesia in 2038

In 2038, French Polynesia is projected to have a population of 288,904 people. That would be 1.6% more than in 2028 (284,271).

Half of the population would be younger than 44.0 years, with 14.1% children under 15 and 21.3% aged 65 or older. The narrow base of the pyramid marks a constrictive age structure: fertility below replacement level and a rising share of older people.

Share of the population by age group, 1950–2100

Data source: United Nations World Population Prospects, 2024 revision (medium variant) — last updated July 2024.

Population
288,904
Median age
44.0
0-14 %
14.1%
65+ %
21.3%
Child dependency
21.8
Old-age dependency
32.9
Region
Pyramid shape
Population 2050
284,751
Population 2100
186,863
Births per woman
Total fertility rate, 1960–2023
123456
1960Replacement level (2.1)2023 · 1.5

In 2023 women in French Polynesia had on average 1.50 children, below the replacement level of 2.1.

Source: World Bank World Development Indicators, latest available year.

Life expectancy at birth
Years, 1960–2023
Total Women Men
5060708090
19602023 · 84.1

Life expectancy at birth was 84.1 years in 2023: 86.5 for women and 81.8 for men.

Source: World Bank World Development Indicators, latest available year.

People supported per 100 workers
Dependency ratios, 1950–2100
Children Older adults
22456890
19502100
Where immigrants come from (2024)

27,791 immigrants live in French Polynesia, 9.9% of the population.

France22,420
New Caledonia2,237
Algeria681
China615
United States of America419
Where emigrants live (2024)

1,860 people born in French Polynesia live in other countries.

New Caledonia591
Australia521
Mali447
Chile281
Norway8
Explore
Immigration statistics Origin of migrant stocks map

Source: United Nations International Migrant Stock 2024.

Country Population Median age Relative size
French Polynesia 288,905 44.0
Samoa 242,155 23.2
Tonga 102,175 24.7
What will the population of French Polynesia be in 2038?
French Polynesia is projected to have a population of 288,904 in 2038.
Is the population of French Polynesia increasing or decreasing?
French Polynesia's population grew 1.6% over the previous ten years, and is projected to reach 284,751 by 2050.
What is the median age in French Polynesia?
French Polynesia's median age is 44.0 years.
What share of French Polynesia's population is over 65 or under 15?
21.3% of French Polynesia's population is 65 or older, and 14.1% is under 15.
What type of population pyramid does French Polynesia have?
French Polynesia's pyramid is constrictive — narrower at the base than the middle, the signature of sustained low fertility and population ageing.

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