Population Pyramids of the World from 1950 to 2100

French Polynesia Population Pyramid 2040

French Polynesia
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2040
Population: 289,168

Year

-5 -1   2040  +1 +5

Country

A B C D E F G H I J K L M N O P Q R S T U V W Y Z
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Summary

French Polynesia in 2040

By 2040, the population of French Polynesia is expected to reach 289,169. Ten years before, in 2030, the projected population is 285,547 — 1.3% lower.

With a projected median age of 44.9 years, French Polynesia would have a youth dependency ratio of 21.8 and an old-age dependency ratio of 35.5 per 100 people of working age. This is a constrictive pyramid — its base is narrower than its middle, the signature of sustained low birth rates and population ageing.

Ranks #186 of 201 by population Ranks #50 of 201 by median age Ranks #142 of 201 by growth

Share of the population by age group, 1950–2100

Data source: United Nations World Population Prospects, 2024 revision (medium variant) — last updated July 2024.

Key indicators for French Polynesia
Population
289,169
Median age
44.9
0-14 %
13.9%
65+ %
22.6%
Child dependency
21.8
Old-age dependency
35.5
Region
OCEANIA
Pyramid shape
Constrictive
Population 2050
284,751
Population 2100
186,863
What is driving the change
Births per woman
Total fertility rate, 1960–2023
123456
1960Replacement level (2.1)2023 · 1.5

In 2023 women in French Polynesia had on average 1.50 children, below the replacement level of 2.1.

Source: World Bank World Development Indicators, latest available year.

Life expectancy at birth
Years, 1960–2023
Total Women Men
5060708090
19602023 · 84.1

Life expectancy at birth was 84.1 years in 2023: 86.5 for women and 81.8 for men.

Source: World Bank World Development Indicators, latest available year.

People supported per 100 workers
Dependency ratios, 1950–2100
Children Older adults
22456890
19502100
Migration to and from French Polynesia
Where immigrants come from (2024)

27,791 immigrants live in French Polynesia, 9.9% of the population.

France22,420
New Caledonia2,237
Algeria681
China615
United States of America419
Where emigrants live (2024)

1,860 people born in French Polynesia live in other countries.

New Caledonia591
Australia521
Mali447
Chile281
Norway8
Explore
Immigration statistics Origin of migrant stocks map

Source: United Nations International Migrant Stock 2024.

How French Polynesia compares with its neighbours
Country Population Median age Relative size
French Polynesia 289,169 44.9
Samoa 247,196 23.5
Tonga 102,565 25.3
Frequently asked questions about French Polynesia's population
How many people are projected to live in French Polynesia in 2040?
French Polynesia is projected to have a population of 289,169 in 2040.
Is French Polynesia's population growing or shrinking?
French Polynesia's population grew 1.3% over the previous ten years, and is projected to reach 284,751 by 2050.
What is the median age in French Polynesia?
The median age in French Polynesia is 44.9 years — half the population is younger, half older.
What share of French Polynesia's population is over 65 or under 15?
In French Polynesia, 13.9% of people are under 15 and 22.6% are 65 or older.
What shape is French Polynesia's population pyramid, and what does it mean?
French Polynesia's pyramid is constrictive — narrower at the base than the middle, the signature of sustained low fertility and population ageing.

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