French Polynesia Population Pyramid 2041

French Polynesia
2041
Population: 289,126

Year

-5 -1   2041  +1 +5

Country

A B C D E F G H I J K L M N O P Q R S T U V W Y Z
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French Polynesia in 2041

United Nations projections (medium variant) put the population of French Polynesia at 289,126 in 2041. Ten years before, in 2031, the projected population is 286,153 — 1.0% lower.

With a projected median age of 45.2 years, French Polynesia would have a youth dependency ratio of 21.9 and an old-age dependency ratio of 36.7 per 100 people of working age. This is a constrictive pyramid — its base is narrower than its middle, the signature of sustained low birth rates and population ageing.

Share of the population by age group, 1950–2100

Data source: United Nations World Population Prospects, 2024 revision (medium variant) — last updated July 2024.

Population
289,126
Median age
45.2
0-14 %
13.8%
65+ %
23.2%
Child dependency
21.9
Old-age dependency
36.7
Region
Pyramid shape
Population 2050
284,751
Population 2100
186,863
Births per woman
Total fertility rate, 1960–2023
123456
1960Replacement level (2.1)2023 · 1.5

In 2023 women in French Polynesia had on average 1.50 children, below the replacement level of 2.1.

Source: World Bank World Development Indicators, latest available year.

Life expectancy at birth
Years, 1960–2023
Total Women Men
5060708090
19602023 · 84.1

Life expectancy at birth was 84.1 years in 2023: 86.5 for women and 81.8 for men.

Source: World Bank World Development Indicators, latest available year.

People supported per 100 workers
Dependency ratios, 1950–2100
Children Older adults
22456890
19502100
Where immigrants come from (2024)

27,791 immigrants live in French Polynesia, 9.9% of the population.

France22,420
New Caledonia2,237
Algeria681
China615
United States of America419
Where emigrants live (2024)

1,860 people born in French Polynesia live in other countries.

New Caledonia591
Australia521
Mali447
Chile281
Norway8
Explore
Immigration statistics Origin of migrant stocks map

Source: United Nations International Migrant Stock 2024.

Country Population Median age Relative size
French Polynesia 289,126 45.2
Samoa 249,796 23.7
Tonga 102,798 25.6
What will the population of French Polynesia be in 2041?
French Polynesia is projected to have a population of 289,126 in 2041.
Is French Polynesia's population growing or shrinking?
Yes, growing: up 1.0% from 2031, with a projected population of 284,751 in 2050.
How old is the population of French Polynesia?
The median age in French Polynesia is 45.2 years — half the population is younger, half older.
What share of French Polynesia's population is over 65 or under 15?
23.2% of French Polynesia's population is 65 or older, and 13.8% is under 15.
What shape is French Polynesia's population pyramid, and what does it mean?
French Polynesia has a constrictive pyramid: cohorts of children are smaller than those of their parents, reflecting low fertility and an ageing population.

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