French Polynesia Population Pyramid 2041
French Polynesia in 2041
United Nations projections (medium variant) put the population of French Polynesia at 289,126 in 2041. Ten years before, in 2031, the projected population is 286,153 — 1.0% lower.
With a projected median age of 45.2 years, French Polynesia would have a youth dependency ratio of 21.9 and an old-age dependency ratio of 36.7 per 100 people of working age. This is a constrictive pyramid — its base is narrower than its middle, the signature of sustained low birth rates and population ageing.
Data source: United Nations World Population Prospects, 2024 revision (medium variant) — last updated July 2024.
In 2023 women in French Polynesia had on average 1.50 children, below the replacement level of 2.1.
Source: World Bank World Development Indicators, latest available year.
Life expectancy at birth was 84.1 years in 2023: 86.5 for women and 81.8 for men.
Source: World Bank World Development Indicators, latest available year.
27,791 immigrants live in French Polynesia, 9.9% of the population.
| France | 22,420 |
| New Caledonia | 2,237 |
| Algeria | 681 |
| China | 615 |
| United States of America | 419 |
1,860 people born in French Polynesia live in other countries.
| New Caledonia | 591 |
| Australia | 521 |
| Mali | 447 |
| Chile | 281 |
| Norway | 8 |
Source: United Nations International Migrant Stock 2024.
| Country | Population | Median age | Relative size |
|---|---|---|---|
| French Polynesia | 289,126 | 45.2 | |
| Samoa | 249,796 | 23.7 | |
| Tonga | 102,798 | 25.6 |





