Population Pyramids of the World from 1950 to 2100

French Polynesia Population Pyramid 2045

French Polynesia
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2045
Population: 288,131

Year

-5 -1   2045  +1 +5

Country

A B C D E F G H I J K L M N O P Q R S T U V W Y Z
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Summary

French Polynesia in 2045

In 2045, French Polynesia is projected to have a population of 288,131 people. The total would be almost unchanged from 2035 (288,066).

The median age is projected at 46.7 years, with 22.0 children under 15 and 41.6 people aged 65 or over for every 100 people of working age (15–64). This is a constrictive pyramid — its base is narrower than its middle, the signature of sustained low birth rates and population ageing.

Ranks #186 of 201 by population Ranks #44 of 201 by median age Ranks #146 of 201 by growth

Share of the population by age group, 1950–2100

Data source: United Nations World Population Prospects, 2024 revision (medium variant) — last updated July 2024.

Key indicators for French Polynesia
Population
288,131
Median age
46.7
0-14 %
13.5%
65+ %
25.4%
Child dependency
22.0
Old-age dependency
41.6
Region
OCEANIA
Pyramid shape
Constrictive
Population 2050
284,751
Population 2100
186,863
What is driving the change
Births per woman
Total fertility rate, 1960–2023
123456
1960Replacement level (2.1)2023 · 1.5

In 2023 women in French Polynesia had on average 1.50 children, below the replacement level of 2.1.

Source: World Bank World Development Indicators, latest available year.

Life expectancy at birth
Years, 1960–2023
Total Women Men
5060708090
19602023 · 84.1

Life expectancy at birth was 84.1 years in 2023: 86.5 for women and 81.8 for men.

Source: World Bank World Development Indicators, latest available year.

People supported per 100 workers
Dependency ratios, 1950–2100
Children Older adults
22456890
19502100
Migration to and from French Polynesia
Where immigrants come from (2024)

27,791 immigrants live in French Polynesia, 9.9% of the population.

France22,420
New Caledonia2,237
Algeria681
China615
United States of America419
Where emigrants live (2024)

1,860 people born in French Polynesia live in other countries.

New Caledonia591
Australia521
Mali447
Chile281
Norway8
Explore
Immigration statistics Origin of migrant stocks map

Source: United Nations International Migrant Stock 2024.

How French Polynesia compares with its neighbours
Country Population Median age Relative size
French Polynesia 288,132 46.7
Samoa 260,262 24.4
Tonga 103,931 26.4
Frequently asked questions about French Polynesia's population
How many people are projected to live in French Polynesia in 2045?
French Polynesia is projected to have a population of 288,131 in 2045.
Is French Polynesia's population growing or shrinking?
French Polynesia's population has been almost unchanged over the previous ten years, and is projected to reach 284,751 by 2050.
How old is the population of French Polynesia?
French Polynesia's median age is 46.7 years.
What share of French Polynesia's population is over 65 or under 15?
In French Polynesia, 13.5% of people are under 15 and 25.4% are 65 or older.
What type of population pyramid does French Polynesia have?
French Polynesia's pyramid is constrictive — narrower at the base than the middle, the signature of sustained low fertility and population ageing.

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