French Polynesia Population Pyramid 2046
French Polynesia in 2046
By 2046, the population of French Polynesia is expected to reach 287,668. The projection for 2036 is nearly the same: 288,425.
Half of the population would be younger than 47.1 years, with 13.4% children under 15 and 26.0% aged 65 or older. This is a constrictive pyramid — its base is narrower than its middle, the signature of sustained low birth rates and population ageing.
Data source: United Nations World Population Prospects, 2024 revision (medium variant) — last updated July 2024.
In 2023 women in French Polynesia had on average 1.50 children, below the replacement level of 2.1.
Source: World Bank World Development Indicators, latest available year.
Life expectancy at birth was 84.1 years in 2023: 86.5 for women and 81.8 for men.
Source: World Bank World Development Indicators, latest available year.
27,791 immigrants live in French Polynesia, 9.9% of the population.
| France | 22,420 |
| New Caledonia | 2,237 |
| Algeria | 681 |
| China | 615 |
| United States of America | 419 |
1,860 people born in French Polynesia live in other countries.
| New Caledonia | 591 |
| Australia | 521 |
| Mali | 447 |
| Chile | 281 |
| Norway | 8 |
Source: United Nations International Migrant Stock 2024.
| Country | Population | Median age | Relative size |
|---|---|---|---|
| French Polynesia | 287,668 | 47.1 | |
| Samoa | 262,858 | 24.6 | |
| Tonga | 104,234 | 26.7 |





