French Polynesia Population Pyramid 2049
French Polynesia in 2049
United Nations projections (medium variant) put the population of French Polynesia at 285,644 in 2049. Compared with 2039, when the projection stands at 289,086, that represents a decline of 1.2% over ten years.
Half of the population would be younger than 48.1 years, with 13.0% children under 15 and 27.9% aged 65 or older. This is a constrictive pyramid — its base is narrower than its middle, the signature of sustained low birth rates and population ageing.
Data source: United Nations World Population Prospects, 2024 revision (medium variant) — last updated July 2024.
In 2023 women in French Polynesia had on average 1.50 children, below the replacement level of 2.1.
Source: World Bank World Development Indicators, latest available year.
Life expectancy at birth was 84.1 years in 2023: 86.5 for women and 81.8 for men.
Source: World Bank World Development Indicators, latest available year.
27,791 immigrants live in French Polynesia, 9.9% of the population.
| France | 22,420 |
| New Caledonia | 2,237 |
| Algeria | 681 |
| China | 615 |
| United States of America | 419 |
1,860 people born in French Polynesia live in other countries.
| New Caledonia | 591 |
| Australia | 521 |
| Mali | 447 |
| Chile | 281 |
| Norway | 8 |
Source: United Nations International Migrant Stock 2024.
| Country | Population | Median age | Relative size |
|---|---|---|---|
| French Polynesia | 285,645 | 48.1 | |
| Samoa | 270,299 | 24.9 | |
| Tonga | 104,973 | 27.3 |





