Population Pyramids of the World from 1950 to 2100

French Polynesia Population Pyramid 2053

French Polynesia
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2053
Population: 281,335

Year

-5 -1   2053  +1 +5

Country

A B C D E F G H I J K L M N O P Q R S T U V W Y Z
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Summary

French Polynesia in 2053

By 2053, the population of French Polynesia is expected to reach 281,335. That would be 2.6% less than in 2043 (288,778).

Half of the population would be younger than 49.7 years, with 12.5% children under 15 and 30.4% aged 65 or older. This is a constrictive pyramid — its base is narrower than its middle, the signature of sustained low birth rates and population ageing.

Ranks #185 of 201 by population Ranks #26 of 201 by median age Ranks #150 of 201 by growth

Share of the population by age group, 1950–2100

Data source: United Nations World Population Prospects, 2024 revision (medium variant) — last updated July 2024.

Key indicators for French Polynesia
Population
281,335
Median age
49.7
0-14 %
12.5%
65+ %
30.4%
Child dependency
21.8
Old-age dependency
53.3
Region
OCEANIA
Pyramid shape
Constrictive
Population 2050
284,751
Population 2100
186,863
What is driving the change
Births per woman
Total fertility rate, 1960–2023
123456
1960Replacement level (2.1)2023 · 1.5

In 2023 women in French Polynesia had on average 1.50 children, below the replacement level of 2.1.

Source: World Bank World Development Indicators, latest available year.

Life expectancy at birth
Years, 1960–2023
Total Women Men
5060708090
19602023 · 84.1

Life expectancy at birth was 84.1 years in 2023: 86.5 for women and 81.8 for men.

Source: World Bank World Development Indicators, latest available year.

People supported per 100 workers
Dependency ratios, 1950–2100
Children Older adults
22456890
19502100
Migration to and from French Polynesia
Where immigrants come from (2024)

27,791 immigrants live in French Polynesia, 9.9% of the population.

France22,420
New Caledonia2,237
Algeria681
China615
United States of America419
Where emigrants live (2024)

1,860 people born in French Polynesia live in other countries.

New Caledonia591
Australia521
Mali447
Chile281
Norway8
Explore
Immigration statistics Origin of migrant stocks map

Source: United Nations International Migrant Stock 2024.

How French Polynesia compares with its neighbours
Country Population Median age Relative size
French Polynesia 281,335 49.7
Samoa 279,747 25.3
Tonga 105,827 28.2
Frequently asked questions about French Polynesia's population
How many people are projected to live in French Polynesia in 2053?
UN projections put French Polynesia's population at 281,335 in 2053.
Is the population of French Polynesia increasing or decreasing?
Yes, shrinking: down 2.6% from 2043, with a projected population of 284,751 in 2050.
What is the median age in French Polynesia?
The median age in French Polynesia is 49.7 years — half the population is younger, half older.
What share of French Polynesia's population is over 65 or under 15?
In French Polynesia, 12.5% of people are under 15 and 30.4% are 65 or older.
What shape is French Polynesia's population pyramid, and what does it mean?
French Polynesia's pyramid is constrictive — narrower at the base than the middle, the signature of sustained low fertility and population ageing.

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