Guatemala Population Pyramid 2078
Guatemala
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2078
Population:
27,151,928
Summary
Guatemala in 2078
United Nations projections (medium variant) put the population of Guatemala at 27,151,928 in 2078. Ten years before, in 2068, the projected population is 26,882,214 — 1.0% lower.
With a projected median age of 42.3 years, Guatemala would have a youth dependency ratio of 26.4 and an old-age dependency ratio of 33.7 per 100 people of working age. This is a constrictive pyramid — its base is narrower than its middle, the signature of sustained low birth rates and population ageing.
Data source: United Nations World Population Prospects, 2024 revision (medium variant) — last updated July 2024.
Key indicators for Guatemala
Population
27,151,928
Median age
42.3
0-14 %
16.5%
65+ %
21.0%
Child dependency
26.4
Old-age dependency
33.7
Pyramid shape
Population 2050
24,670,857
Population 2100
25,912,091
What is driving the change
Births per woman
Total fertility rate, 1960–2023
1234567
1960Replacement level (2.1)2023 · 2.31
The fertility rate of Guatemala was 2.31 births per woman in 2023, above the 2.1 needed to replace each generation.
Source: World Bank World Development Indicators, latest available year.
Life expectancy at birth
Years, 1960–2023
Total
Women
Men
4050607080
19602023 · 72.6
A child born there in 2023 could expect to live 72.6 years on average (74.9 years for girls, 70.3 for boys).
Source: World Bank World Development Indicators, latest available year.
People supported per 100 workers
Dependency ratios, 1950–2100
Children
Older adults
255075100
19502100
Migration to and from Guatemala
Where immigrants come from (2024)
89,725 immigrants live in Guatemala, 0.5% of the population.
| El Salvador | 22,750 |
| Mexico | 20,758 |
| United States of America | 10,228 |
| Nicaragua | 10,131 |
| Honduras | 9,924 |
Where emigrants live (2024)
1,460,232 people born in Guatemala live in other countries.
| United States of America | 1,298,936 |
| Mexico | 81,012 |
| Belize | 29,643 |
| Canada | 18,187 |
| El Salvador | 9,157 |
Explore
Immigration statistics
Origin of migrant stocks map
Source: United Nations International Migrant Stock 2024.
How Guatemala compares with its neighbours
| Country | Population | Median age | Relative size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Guatemala | 27,151,929 | 42.3 | |
| Honduras | 16,974,896 | 40.9 | |
| Nicaragua | 9,192,489 | 44.0 | |
| El Salvador | 6,065,626 | 48.6 | |
| Panama | 6,027,418 | 45.8 |
Frequently asked questions about Guatemala's population
How many people are projected to live in Guatemala in 2078?
Guatemala is projected to have a population of 27,151,928 in 2078.
Is the population of Guatemala increasing or decreasing?
Guatemala's population grew 1.0% over the previous ten years, and is projected to reach 24,670,857 by 2050.
What is the median age in Guatemala?
The median age in Guatemala is 42.3 years — half the population is younger, half older.
How many children and older people live in Guatemala?
In Guatemala, 16.5% of people are under 15 and 21.0% are 65 or older.
What type of population pyramid does Guatemala have?
Guatemala's pyramid is constrictive — narrower at the base than the middle, the signature of sustained low fertility and population ageing.
