Iceland Population Pyramid 2030
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2030
Population:
414,348
Summary
Iceland in 2030
United Nations projections (medium variant) put the population of Iceland at 414,348 in 2030. Ten years before, in 2020, the projected population is 366,614 — 13.0% lower.
The median age is projected at 39.1 years, with 25.4 children under 15 and 26.9 people aged 65 or over for every 100 people of working age (15–64). This is a constrictive pyramid — its base is narrower than its middle, the signature of sustained low birth rates and population ageing.
Data source: United Nations World Population Prospects, 2024 revision (medium variant) — last updated July 2024.
Key indicators for Iceland
Population
414,348
Median age
39.1
0-14 %
16.7%
65+ %
17.7%
Child dependency
25.4
Old-age dependency
26.9
Region
Pyramid shape
Population 2050
432,993
Population 2100
362,583
What is driving the change
Births per woman
Total fertility rate, 1960–2023
12345
1960Replacement level (2.1)2023 · 1.59
The fertility rate of Iceland was 1.59 births per woman in 2023, under the 2.1 needed to replace each generation.
Source: World Bank World Development Indicators, latest available year.
Life expectancy at birth
Years, 1960–2023
Total
Women
Men
60708090
19602023 · 82.6
Life expectancy at birth was 82.6 years in 2023: 84.4 for women and 80.9 for men.
Source: World Bank World Development Indicators, latest available year.
People supported per 100 workers
Dependency ratios, 1950–2100
Children
Older adults
18355270
19502100
Migration to and from Iceland
Where immigrants come from (2024)
97,640 immigrants live in Iceland, 24.8% of the population.
| Poland | 31,868 |
| Denmark | 5,917 |
| Lithuania | 4,789 |
| United States of America | 3,932 |
| Sweden | 3,559 |
Where emigrants live (2024)
22,865 people born in Iceland live in other countries.
| Denmark | 8,868 |
| Norway | 8,658 |
| Poland | 2,546 |
| Brazil | 556 |
| Luxembourg | 477 |
Explore
Immigration statistics
Origin of migrant stocks map
Source: United Nations International Migrant Stock 2024.
How Iceland compares with its neighbours
| Country | Population | Median age | Relative size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Iceland | 414,348 | 39.1 | |
| Estonia | 1,302,772 | 45.7 | |
| Latvia | 1,777,620 | 46.0 | |
| Lithuania | 2,706,358 | 44.8 | |
| Ireland | 5,525,094 | 40.9 |
Frequently asked questions about Iceland's population
What will the population of Iceland be in 2030?
Iceland is projected to have a population of 414,348 in 2030.
Is Iceland's population growing or shrinking?
Iceland's population grew 13.0% over the previous ten years, and is projected to reach 432,993 by 2050.
How old is the population of Iceland?
The median age in Iceland is 39.1 years — half the population is younger, half older.
How many children and older people live in Iceland?
In Iceland, 16.7% of people are under 15 and 17.7% are 65 or older.
What shape is Iceland's population pyramid, and what does it mean?
Iceland's pyramid is constrictive — narrower at the base than the middle, the signature of sustained low fertility and population ageing.
