Iceland Population Pyramid 2038

Iceland
2038
Population: 427,487

Year

-5 -1   2038  +1 +5

Country

A B C D E F G H I J K L M N O P Q R S T U V W Y Z
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Iceland in 2038

By 2038, the population of Iceland is expected to reach 427,487. Compared with 2028, when the projection stands at 409,030, that represents growth of 4.5% over ten years.

Half of the population would be younger than 42.3 years, with 15.2% children under 15 and 20.1% aged 65 or older. The narrow base of the pyramid marks a constrictive age structure: fertility below replacement level and a rising share of older people.

Share of the population by age group, 1950–2100

Data source: United Nations World Population Prospects, 2024 revision (medium variant) — last updated July 2024.

Population
427,487
Median age
42.3
0-14 %
15.2%
65+ %
20.1%
Child dependency
23.5
Old-age dependency
31.0
Region
Pyramid shape
Population 2050
432,993
Population 2100
362,583
Births per woman
Total fertility rate, 1960–2023
12345
1960Replacement level (2.1)2023 · 1.59

The fertility rate of Iceland was 1.59 births per woman in 2023, under the 2.1 needed to replace each generation.

Source: World Bank World Development Indicators, latest available year.

Life expectancy at birth
Years, 1960–2023
Total Women Men
60708090
19602023 · 82.6

Life expectancy at birth was 82.6 years in 2023: 84.4 for women and 80.9 for men.

Source: World Bank World Development Indicators, latest available year.

People supported per 100 workers
Dependency ratios, 1950–2100
Children Older adults
18355270
19502100
Where immigrants come from (2024)

97,640 immigrants live in Iceland, 24.8% of the population.

Poland31,868
Denmark5,917
Lithuania4,789
United States of America3,932
Sweden3,559
Where emigrants live (2024)

22,865 people born in Iceland live in other countries.

Denmark8,868
Norway8,658
Poland2,546
Brazil556
Luxembourg477
Explore
Immigration statistics Origin of migrant stocks map

Source: United Nations International Migrant Stock 2024.

Country Population Median age Relative size
Iceland 427,488 42.3
Estonia 1,249,008 48.5
Latvia 1,666,727 48.4
Lithuania 2,530,462 47.7
Finland 5,504,993 46.8
What will the population of Iceland be in 2038?
Iceland is projected to have a population of 427,487 in 2038.
Is the population of Iceland increasing or decreasing?
Yes, growing: up 4.5% from 2028, with a projected population of 432,993 in 2050.
What is the median age in Iceland?
Iceland's median age is 42.3 years.
How many children and older people live in Iceland?
20.1% of Iceland's population is 65 or older, and 15.2% is under 15.
What type of population pyramid does Iceland have?
Iceland's pyramid is constrictive — narrower at the base than the middle, the signature of sustained low fertility and population ageing.

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