Iceland Population Pyramid 2038
Iceland in 2038
By 2038, the population of Iceland is expected to reach 427,487. Compared with 2028, when the projection stands at 409,030, that represents growth of 4.5% over ten years.
Half of the population would be younger than 42.3 years, with 15.2% children under 15 and 20.1% aged 65 or older. The narrow base of the pyramid marks a constrictive age structure: fertility below replacement level and a rising share of older people.
Data source: United Nations World Population Prospects, 2024 revision (medium variant) — last updated July 2024.
The fertility rate of Iceland was 1.59 births per woman in 2023, under the 2.1 needed to replace each generation.
Source: World Bank World Development Indicators, latest available year.
Life expectancy at birth was 82.6 years in 2023: 84.4 for women and 80.9 for men.
Source: World Bank World Development Indicators, latest available year.
97,640 immigrants live in Iceland, 24.8% of the population.
| Poland | 31,868 |
| Denmark | 5,917 |
| Lithuania | 4,789 |
| United States of America | 3,932 |
| Sweden | 3,559 |
22,865 people born in Iceland live in other countries.
| Denmark | 8,868 |
| Norway | 8,658 |
| Poland | 2,546 |
| Brazil | 556 |
| Luxembourg | 477 |
Source: United Nations International Migrant Stock 2024.
| Country | Population | Median age | Relative size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Iceland | 427,488 | 42.3 | |
| Estonia | 1,249,008 | 48.5 | |
| Latvia | 1,666,727 | 48.4 | |
| Lithuania | 2,530,462 | 47.7 | |
| Finland | 5,504,993 | 46.8 |





