Iceland Population Pyramid 2040
Iceland in 2040
In 2040, Iceland is projected to have a population of 429,453 people. Compared with 2030, when the projection stands at 414,348, that represents growth of 3.6% over ten years.
The median age is projected at 43.1 years, with 23.0 children under 15 and 32.0 people aged 65 or over for every 100 people of working age (15–64). The narrow base of the pyramid marks a constrictive age structure: fertility below replacement level and a rising share of older people.
Data source: United Nations World Population Prospects, 2024 revision (medium variant) — last updated July 2024.
The fertility rate of Iceland was 1.59 births per woman in 2023, under the 2.1 needed to replace each generation.
Source: World Bank World Development Indicators, latest available year.
Life expectancy at birth was 82.6 years in 2023: 84.4 for women and 80.9 for men.
Source: World Bank World Development Indicators, latest available year.
97,640 immigrants live in Iceland, 24.8% of the population.
| Poland | 31,868 |
| Denmark | 5,917 |
| Lithuania | 4,789 |
| United States of America | 3,932 |
| Sweden | 3,559 |
22,865 people born in Iceland live in other countries.
| Denmark | 8,868 |
| Norway | 8,658 |
| Poland | 2,546 |
| Brazil | 556 |
| Luxembourg | 477 |
Source: United Nations International Migrant Stock 2024.
| Country | Population | Median age | Relative size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Iceland | 429,453 | 43.1 | |
| Estonia | 1,236,787 | 49.2 | |
| Latvia | 1,640,644 | 48.9 | |
| Lithuania | 2,484,835 | 48.3 | |
| Finland | 5,480,523 | 47.0 |





