Iceland Population Pyramid 2040

Iceland
2040
Population: 429,452

Year

-5 -1   2040  +1 +5

Country

A B C D E F G H I J K L M N O P Q R S T U V W Y Z
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Iceland in 2040

In 2040, Iceland is projected to have a population of 429,453 people. Compared with 2030, when the projection stands at 414,348, that represents growth of 3.6% over ten years.

The median age is projected at 43.1 years, with 23.0 children under 15 and 32.0 people aged 65 or over for every 100 people of working age (15–64). The narrow base of the pyramid marks a constrictive age structure: fertility below replacement level and a rising share of older people.

Share of the population by age group, 1950–2100

Data source: United Nations World Population Prospects, 2024 revision (medium variant) — last updated July 2024.

Population
429,453
Median age
43.1
0-14 %
14.8%
65+ %
20.7%
Child dependency
23.0
Old-age dependency
32.0
Region
Pyramid shape
Population 2050
432,993
Population 2100
362,583
Births per woman
Total fertility rate, 1960–2023
12345
1960Replacement level (2.1)2023 · 1.59

The fertility rate of Iceland was 1.59 births per woman in 2023, under the 2.1 needed to replace each generation.

Source: World Bank World Development Indicators, latest available year.

Life expectancy at birth
Years, 1960–2023
Total Women Men
60708090
19602023 · 82.6

Life expectancy at birth was 82.6 years in 2023: 84.4 for women and 80.9 for men.

Source: World Bank World Development Indicators, latest available year.

People supported per 100 workers
Dependency ratios, 1950–2100
Children Older adults
18355270
19502100
Where immigrants come from (2024)

97,640 immigrants live in Iceland, 24.8% of the population.

Poland31,868
Denmark5,917
Lithuania4,789
United States of America3,932
Sweden3,559
Where emigrants live (2024)

22,865 people born in Iceland live in other countries.

Denmark8,868
Norway8,658
Poland2,546
Brazil556
Luxembourg477
Explore
Immigration statistics Origin of migrant stocks map

Source: United Nations International Migrant Stock 2024.

Country Population Median age Relative size
Iceland 429,453 43.1
Estonia 1,236,787 49.2
Latvia 1,640,644 48.9
Lithuania 2,484,835 48.3
Finland 5,480,523 47.0
How many people are projected to live in Iceland in 2040?
Iceland is projected to have a population of 429,453 in 2040.
Is Iceland's population growing or shrinking?
Yes, growing: up 3.6% from 2030, with a projected population of 432,993 in 2050.
What is the median age in Iceland?
Iceland's median age is 43.1 years.
How many children and older people live in Iceland?
In Iceland, 14.8% of people are under 15 and 20.7% are 65 or older.
What shape is Iceland's population pyramid, and what does it mean?
Iceland has a constrictive pyramid: cohorts of children are smaller than those of their parents, reflecting low fertility and an ageing population.

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