Population Pyramids of the World from 1950 to 2100

Italy Population Pyramid 2038

Italy
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2038
Population: 55,796,258

Year

-5 -1   2038  +1 +5

Country

A B C D E F G H I J K L M N O P Q R S T U V W Y Z
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Summary

Italy in 2038

By 2038, the population of Italy is expected to reach 55,796,258. That would be 4.5% less than in 2028 (58,445,833).

With a projected median age of 52.7 years, Italy would have a youth dependency ratio of 18.3 and an old-age dependency ratio of 58.5 per 100 people of working age. This is a constrictive pyramid — its base is narrower than its middle, the signature of sustained low birth rates and population ageing.

Ranks #34 of 201 by population Ranks #6 of 201 by median age Ranks #175 of 201 by growth

Share of the population by age group, 1950–2100

Data source: United Nations World Population Prospects, 2024 revision (medium variant) — last updated July 2024.

Key indicators for Italy
Population
55,796,258
Median age
52.7
0-14 %
10.3%
65+ %
33.1%
Child dependency
18.3
Old-age dependency
58.5
Region
EUROPE
Pyramid shape
Constrictive
Population 2050
51,891,099
Population 2100
35,376,822
What is driving the change
Births per woman
Total fertility rate, 1960–2023
123
1960Replacement level (2.1)2023 · 1.2

The fertility rate of Italy was 1.20 births per woman in 2023, under the 2.1 needed to replace each generation.

Source: World Bank World Development Indicators, latest available year.

Life expectancy at birth
Years, 1960–2023
Total Women Men
60708090
19602023 · 83.7

Life expectancy at birth was 83.7 years in 2023: 85.8 for women and 81.7 for men.

Source: World Bank World Development Indicators, latest available year.

People supported per 100 workers
Dependency ratios, 1950–2100
Children Older adults
20406080
19502100
Migration to and from Italy
Where immigrants come from (2024)

6,551,499 immigrants live in Italy, 11.0% of the population.

Romania880,402
Albania542,638
Morocco472,734
Ukraine396,128
China240,895
Where emigrants live (2024)

2,934,780 people born in Italy live in other countries.

Germany436,759
United States of America360,987
United Kingdom342,143
France303,685
Switzerland273,822
Explore
Immigration statistics Origin of migrant stocks map

Source: United Nations International Migrant Stock 2024.

How Italy compares with its neighbours
Country Population Median age Relative size
Italy 55,796,258 52.7
Spain 46,830,186 51.5
Portugal 10,136,256 50.2
Greece 9,362,891 51.2
Serbia 6,083,453 48.2
Frequently asked questions about Italy's population
How many people are projected to live in Italy in 2038?
Italy is projected to have a population of 55,796,258 in 2038.
Is the population of Italy increasing or decreasing?
Yes, shrinking: down 4.5% from 2028, with a projected population of 51,891,099 in 2050.
What is the median age in Italy?
Italy's median age is 52.7 years.
How many children and older people live in Italy?
33.1% of Italy's population is 65 or older, and 10.3% is under 15.
What shape is Italy's population pyramid, and what does it mean?
Italy's pyramid is constrictive — narrower at the base than the middle, the signature of sustained low fertility and population ageing.

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