Italy Population Pyramid 2045

Italy
2045
Population: 53,680,470

Year

-5 -1   2045  +1 +5

Country

A B C D E F G H I J K L M N O P Q R S T U V W Y Z
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Italy in 2045

United Nations projections (medium variant) put the population of Italy at 53,680,470 in 2045. That would be 5.2% less than in 2035 (56,620,005).

Half of the population would be younger than 53.6 years, with 10.7% children under 15 and 36.1% aged 65 or older. The pyramid is constrictive: cohorts of children are smaller than those of their parents, reflecting low fertility and an ageing population.

Share of the population by age group, 1950–2100

Data source: United Nations World Population Prospects, 2024 revision (medium variant) — last updated July 2024.

Population
53,680,470
Median age
53.6
0-14 %
10.7%
65+ %
36.1%
Child dependency
20.1
Old-age dependency
67.8
Region
Pyramid shape
Population 2050
51,891,099
Population 2100
35,376,822
Births per woman
Total fertility rate, 1960–2023
123
1960Replacement level (2.1)2023 · 1.2

The fertility rate of Italy was 1.20 births per woman in 2023, under the 2.1 needed to replace each generation.

Source: World Bank World Development Indicators, latest available year.

Life expectancy at birth
Years, 1960–2023
Total Women Men
60708090
19602023 · 83.7

Life expectancy at birth was 83.7 years in 2023: 85.8 for women and 81.7 for men.

Source: World Bank World Development Indicators, latest available year.

People supported per 100 workers
Dependency ratios, 1950–2100
Children Older adults
20406080
19502100
Where immigrants come from (2024)

6,551,499 immigrants live in Italy, 11.0% of the population.

Romania880,402
Albania542,638
Morocco472,734
Ukraine396,128
China240,895
Where emigrants live (2024)

2,934,780 people born in Italy live in other countries.

Germany436,759
United States of America360,987
United Kingdom342,143
France303,685
Switzerland273,822
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Immigration statistics Origin of migrant stocks map

Source: United Nations International Migrant Stock 2024.

Country Population Median age Relative size
Italy 53,680,471 53.6
Spain 45,879,964 52.6
Portugal 9,938,390 49.7
Greece 9,058,325 51.3
Serbia 5,753,267 49.0
What will the population of Italy be in 2045?
Italy is projected to have a population of 53,680,470 in 2045.
Is Italy's population growing or shrinking?
Italy's population declined 5.2% over the previous ten years, and is projected to reach 51,891,099 by 2050.
What is the median age in Italy?
Italy's median age is 53.6 years.
What share of Italy's population is over 65 or under 15?
In Italy, 10.7% of people are under 15 and 36.1% are 65 or older.
What shape is Italy's population pyramid, and what does it mean?
Italy's pyramid is constrictive — narrower at the base than the middle, the signature of sustained low fertility and population ageing.

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