Population Pyramids of the World from 1950 to 2100

Japan Population Pyramid 2038

Japan
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2038
Population: 113,633,613

Year

-5 -1   2038  +1 +5

Country

A B C D E F G H I J K L M N O P Q R S T U V W Y Z
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Summary

Japan in 2038

United Nations projections (medium variant) put the population of Japan at 113,633,614 in 2038. That would be 6.1% less than in 2028 (121,024,348).

Half of the population would be younger than 53.9 years, with 10.2% children under 15 and 34.3% aged 65 or older. This is a constrictive pyramid — its base is narrower than its middle, the signature of sustained low birth rates and population ageing.

Ranks #15 of 201 by population Ranks #2 of 201 by median age Ranks #186 of 201 by growth

Share of the population by age group, 1950–2100

Data source: United Nations World Population Prospects, 2024 revision (medium variant) — last updated July 2024.

Key indicators for Japan
Population
113,633,614
Median age
53.9
0-14 %
10.2%
65+ %
34.3%
Child dependency
18.4
Old-age dependency
61.8
Region
ASIA
Pyramid shape
Constrictive
Population 2050
105,123,168
Population 2100
76,845,989
What is driving the change
Births per woman
Total fertility rate, 1960–2023
123
1960Replacement level (2.1)2023 · 1.2

In 2023 women in Japan had on average 1.20 children, below the replacement level of 2.1.

Source: World Bank World Development Indicators, latest available year.

Life expectancy at birth
Years, 1960–2023
Total Women Men
60708090
19602023 · 84.0

Life expectancy at birth was 84.0 years in 2023: 87.1 for women and 81.1 for men.

Source: World Bank World Development Indicators, latest available year.

People supported per 100 workers
Dependency ratios, 1950–2100
Children Older adults
20406080
19502100
Migration to and from Japan
Where immigrants come from (2024)

3,409,328 immigrants live in Japan, 2.8% of the population.

China809,893
Viet Nam589,874
Republic of Korea393,944
Philippines319,772
Brazil207,220
Where emigrants live (2024)

1,007,411 people born in Japan live in other countries.

United States of America547,444
Thailand104,515
Australia53,094
Brazil52,758
China40,436
Explore
Immigration statistics Origin of migrant stocks map

Source: United Nations International Migrant Stock 2024.

How Japan compares with its neighbours
Country Population Median age Relative size
Japan 113,633,614 53.9
Republic of Korea 49,541,158 53.4
Dem. People's Republic of Korea 26,646,329 41.5
Taiwan 21,563,593 53.0
China, Hong Kong SAR 6,907,320 56.4
Frequently asked questions about Japan's population
What will the population of Japan be in 2038?
Japan is projected to have a population of 113,633,614 in 2038.
Is Japan's population growing or shrinking?
Yes, shrinking: down 6.1% from 2028, with a projected population of 105,123,168 in 2050.
How old is the population of Japan?
The median age in Japan is 53.9 years — half the population is younger, half older.
How many children and older people live in Japan?
In Japan, 10.2% of people are under 15 and 34.3% are 65 or older.
What type of population pyramid does Japan have?
Japan's pyramid is constrictive — narrower at the base than the middle, the signature of sustained low fertility and population ageing.

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