Japan Population Pyramid 2040

Japan
2040
Population: 112,158,303

Year

-5 -1   2040  +1 +5

Country

A B C D E F G H I J K L M N O P Q R S T U V W Y Z
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Japan in 2040

United Nations projections (medium variant) put the population of Japan at 112,158,304 in 2040. Compared with 2030, when the projection stands at 119,584,122, that represents a decline of 6.2% over ten years.

Half of the population would be younger than 54.0 years, with 10.4% children under 15 and 35.3% aged 65 or older. This is a constrictive pyramid — its base is narrower than its middle, the signature of sustained low birth rates and population ageing.

Share of the population by age group, 1950–2100

Data source: United Nations World Population Prospects, 2024 revision (medium variant) — last updated July 2024.

Population
112,158,304
Median age
54.0
0-14 %
10.4%
65+ %
35.3%
Child dependency
19.2
Old-age dependency
65.2
Region
Pyramid shape
Population 2050
105,123,168
Population 2100
76,845,989
Births per woman
Total fertility rate, 1960–2023
123
1960Replacement level (2.1)2023 · 1.2

In 2023 women in Japan had on average 1.20 children, below the replacement level of 2.1.

Source: World Bank World Development Indicators, latest available year.

Life expectancy at birth
Years, 1960–2023
Total Women Men
60708090
19602023 · 84.0

Life expectancy at birth was 84.0 years in 2023: 87.1 for women and 81.1 for men.

Source: World Bank World Development Indicators, latest available year.

People supported per 100 workers
Dependency ratios, 1950–2100
Children Older adults
20406080
19502100
Where immigrants come from (2024)

3,409,328 immigrants live in Japan, 2.8% of the population.

China809,893
Viet Nam589,874
Republic of Korea393,944
Philippines319,772
Brazil207,220
Where emigrants live (2024)

1,007,411 people born in Japan live in other countries.

United States of America547,444
Thailand104,515
Australia53,094
Brazil52,758
China40,436
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Immigration statistics Origin of migrant stocks map

Source: United Nations International Migrant Stock 2024.

Country Population Median age Relative size
Japan 112,158,304 54.0
Republic of Korea 48,948,687 54.3
Dem. People's Republic of Korea 26,542,433 42.1
Taiwan 21,257,134 53.9
China, Hong Kong SAR 6,816,568 57.5
What will the population of Japan be in 2040?
Japan is projected to have a population of 112,158,304 in 2040.
Is Japan's population growing or shrinking?
Japan's population declined 6.2% over the previous ten years, and is projected to reach 105,123,168 by 2050.
What is the median age in Japan?
Japan's median age is 54.0 years.
What share of Japan's population is over 65 or under 15?
35.3% of Japan's population is 65 or older, and 10.4% is under 15.
What type of population pyramid does Japan have?
Japan has a constrictive pyramid: cohorts of children are smaller than those of their parents, reflecting low fertility and an ageing population.

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