Population Pyramids of the World from 1950 to 2100

Mexico Population Pyramid 2040

Mexico
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2040
Population: 144,624,323

Year

-5 -1   2040  +1 +5

Country

A B C D E F G H I J K L M N O P Q R S T U V W Y Z
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Summary

Mexico in 2040

In 2040, Mexico is projected to have a population of 144,624,324 people. That would be 5.6% more than in 2030 (136,904,738).

With a projected median age of 36.2 years, Mexico would have a youth dependency ratio of 29.0 and an old-age dependency ratio of 20.2 per 100 people of working age. The near-vertical sides of the pyramid indicate a stationary age structure, with births roughly balancing the passage of cohorts into older age.

Ranks #12 of 201 by population Ranks #96 of 201 by median age Ranks #101 of 201 by growth

Share of the population by age group, 1950–2100

Data source: United Nations World Population Prospects, 2024 revision (medium variant) — last updated July 2024.

Key indicators for Mexico
Population
144,624,324
Median age
36.2
0-14 %
19.4%
65+ %
13.5%
Child dependency
29.0
Old-age dependency
20.2
Region
LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN
Pyramid shape
Stationary
Population 2050
148,946,274
Population 2100
130,248,836
What is driving the change
Births per woman
Total fertility rate, 1960–2023
1234567
1960Replacement level (2.1)2023 · 1.91

The fertility rate of Mexico was 1.91 births per woman in 2023, under the 2.1 needed to replace each generation.

Source: World Bank World Development Indicators, latest available year.

Life expectancy at birth
Years, 1960–2023
Total Women Men
4050607080
19602023 · 75.1

A child born there in 2023 could expect to live 75.1 years on average (77.8 years for girls, 72.2 for boys).

Source: World Bank World Development Indicators, latest available year.

People supported per 100 workers
Dependency ratios, 1950–2100
Children Older adults
255075100
19502100
Migration to and from Mexico
Where immigrants come from (2024)

1,697,453 immigrants live in Mexico, 1.3% of the population.

United States of America823,502
Honduras166,398
Venezuela111,191
Haiti91,622
Guatemala81,012
Where emigrants live (2024)

11,596,448 people born in Mexico live in other countries.

United States of America11,279,561
Canada103,620
Spain77,724
Guatemala20,758
Bolivia11,841
Explore
Immigration statistics Origin of migrant stocks map

Source: United Nations International Migrant Stock 2024.

How Mexico compares with its neighbours
Country Population Median age Relative size
Mexico 144,624,324 36.2
Guatemala 22,626,870 30.1
Honduras 13,484,653 30.3
Nicaragua 8,189,915 32.3
El Salvador 6,640,752 35.8
Frequently asked questions about Mexico's population
How many people are projected to live in Mexico in 2040?
UN projections put Mexico's population at 144,624,324 in 2040.
Is the population of Mexico increasing or decreasing?
Mexico's population grew 5.6% over the previous ten years, and is projected to reach 148,946,274 by 2050.
How old is the population of Mexico?
The median age in Mexico is 36.2 years — half the population is younger, half older.
How many children and older people live in Mexico?
In Mexico, 19.4% of people are under 15 and 13.5% are 65 or older.
What shape is Mexico's population pyramid, and what does it mean?
Mexico has a stationary pyramid: cohort sizes are roughly even through the younger ages, reflecting fertility close to replacement level.

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