New Caledonia Population Pyramid 2040
New Caledonia in 2040
United Nations projections (medium variant) put the population of New Caledonia at 327,500 in 2040. Compared with 2030, when the projection stands at 307,577, that represents growth of 6.5% over ten years.
Half of the population would be younger than 39.3 years, with 18.2% children under 15 and 18.4% aged 65 or older. The narrow base of the pyramid marks a constrictive age structure: fertility below replacement level and a rising share of older people.
Data source: United Nations World Population Prospects, 2024 revision (medium variant) — last updated July 2024.
The fertility rate of New Caledonia was 1.98 births per woman in 2023, under the 2.1 needed to replace each generation.
Source: World Bank World Development Indicators, latest available year.
A child born there in 2023 could expect to live 78.8 years on average (81.3 years for girls, 76.3 for boys).
Source: World Bank World Development Indicators, latest available year.
59,375 immigrants live in New Caledonia, 20.3% of the population.
| France | 48,935 |
| Vanuatu | 4,021 |
| Indonesia | 1,043 |
| Tunisia | 696 |
| Laos | 656 |
4,066 people born in New Caledonia live in other countries.
| French Polynesia | 2,237 |
| Australia | 1,520 |
| Vanuatu | 267 |
| Solomon Islands | 31 |
| Norway | 9 |
Source: United Nations International Migrant Stock 2024.
| Country | Population | Median age | Relative size |
|---|---|---|---|
| New Caledonia | 327,500 | 39.3 | |
| Vanuatu | 451,513 | 24.2 | |
| Fiji | 983,858 | 31.9 | |
| Solomon Islands | 1,135,455 | 25.2 | |
| Papua New Guinea | 13,376,161 | 27.3 |





