New Caledonia Population Pyramid 2048
New Caledonia in 2048
By 2048, the population of New Caledonia is expected to reach 338,655. Compared with 2038, when the projection stands at 324,052, that represents growth of 4.5% over ten years.
With a projected median age of 41.2 years, New Caledonia would have a youth dependency ratio of 28.1 and an old-age dependency ratio of 34.1 per 100 people of working age. The narrow base of the pyramid marks a constrictive age structure: fertility below replacement level and a rising share of older people.
Data source: United Nations World Population Prospects, 2024 revision (medium variant) — last updated July 2024.
The fertility rate of New Caledonia was 1.98 births per woman in 2023, under the 2.1 needed to replace each generation.
Source: World Bank World Development Indicators, latest available year.
A child born there in 2023 could expect to live 78.8 years on average (81.3 years for girls, 76.3 for boys).
Source: World Bank World Development Indicators, latest available year.
59,375 immigrants live in New Caledonia, 20.3% of the population.
| France | 48,935 |
| Vanuatu | 4,021 |
| Indonesia | 1,043 |
| Tunisia | 696 |
| Laos | 656 |
4,066 people born in New Caledonia live in other countries.
| French Polynesia | 2,237 |
| Australia | 1,520 |
| Vanuatu | 267 |
| Solomon Islands | 31 |
| Norway | 9 |
Source: United Nations International Migrant Stock 2024.
| Country | Population | Median age | Relative size |
|---|---|---|---|
| New Caledonia | 338,655 | 41.2 | |
| Vanuatu | 517,894 | 25.9 | |
| Fiji | 998,560 | 33.7 | |
| Solomon Islands | 1,275,594 | 27.0 | |
| Papua New Guinea | 14,617,371 | 29.1 |





