New Zealand Population Pyramid 2040

New Zealand
2040
Population: 5,617,290

Year

-5 -1   2040  +1 +5

Country

A B C D E F G H I J K L M N O P Q R S T U V W Y Z
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New Zealand in 2040

By 2040, the population of New Zealand is expected to reach 5,617,290. Ten years before, in 2030, the projected population is 5,407,349 — 3.9% lower.

With a projected median age of 42.6 years, New Zealand would have a youth dependency ratio of 25.1 and an old-age dependency ratio of 36.7 per 100 people of working age. The pyramid is constrictive: cohorts of children are smaller than those of their parents, reflecting low fertility and an ageing population.

Share of the population by age group, 1950–2100

Data source: United Nations World Population Prospects, 2024 revision (medium variant) — last updated July 2024.

Population
5,617,290
Median age
42.6
0-14 %
15.5%
65+ %
22.7%
Child dependency
25.1
Old-age dependency
36.7
Region
Pyramid shape
Population 2050
5,755,288
Population 2100
5,812,294
Births per woman
Total fertility rate, 1960–2023
12345
1960Replacement level (2.1)2023 · 1.56

In 2023 women in New Zealand had on average 1.56 children, below the replacement level of 2.1.

Source: World Bank World Development Indicators, latest available year.

Life expectancy at birth
Years, 1960–2023
Total Women Men
60708090
19602023 · 83.0

Life expectancy at birth was 83.0 years in 2023: 84.9 for women and 81.2 for men.

Source: World Bank World Development Indicators, latest available year.

People supported per 100 workers
Dependency ratios, 1950–2100
Children Older adults
15304560
19502100
Where immigrants come from (2024)

1,375,277 immigrants live in New Zealand, 26.4% of the population.

United Kingdom254,524
India149,677
China145,906
Philippines107,622
South Africa101,970
Where emigrants live (2024)

675,612 people born in New Zealand live in other countries.

Australia588,088
United Kingdom50,762
Canada10,875
China3,811
Japan3,785
Explore
Immigration statistics Origin of migrant stocks map

Source: United Nations International Migrant Stock 2024.

Country Population Median age Relative size
New Zealand 5,617,291 42.6
Australia 30,357,451 42.4
How many people are projected to live in New Zealand in 2040?
New Zealand is projected to have a population of 5,617,290 in 2040.
Is New Zealand's population growing or shrinking?
Yes, growing: up 3.9% from 2030, with a projected population of 5,755,288 in 2050.
What is the median age in New Zealand?
The median age in New Zealand is 42.6 years — half the population is younger, half older.
What share of New Zealand's population is over 65 or under 15?
In New Zealand, 15.5% of people are under 15 and 22.7% are 65 or older.
What shape is New Zealand's population pyramid, and what does it mean?
New Zealand's pyramid is constrictive — narrower at the base than the middle, the signature of sustained low fertility and population ageing.

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