Population Pyramids of the World from 1950 to 2100

Papua New Guinea Population Pyramid 2033

Papua New Guinea
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2033
Population: 12,196,646

Year

-5 -1   2033  +1 +5

Country

A B C D E F G H I J K L M N O P Q R S T U V W Y Z
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Summary

Papua New Guinea in 2033

In 2033, Papua New Guinea is projected to have a population of 12,196,646 people. Compared with 2023, when the projection stands at 10,389,635, that represents growth of 17.4% over ten years.

With a projected median age of 25.6 years, Papua New Guinea would have a youth dependency ratio of 46.8 and an old-age dependency ratio of 7.3 per 100 people of working age. The pyramid is expansive: its wide base of young cohorts reflects high fertility and a rapidly growing population.

Ranks #87 of 201 by population Ranks #146 of 201 by median age Ranks #56 of 201 by growth

Share of the population by age group, 1950–2100

Data source: United Nations World Population Prospects, 2024 revision (medium variant) — last updated July 2024.

Key indicators for Papua New Guinea
Population
12,196,646
Median age
25.6
0-14 %
30.4%
65+ %
4.7%
Child dependency
46.8
Old-age dependency
7.3
Region
OCEANIA
Pyramid shape
Expansive
Population 2050
14,906,590
Population 2100
18,640,542
What is driving the change
Births per woman
Total fertility rate, 1960–2023
1234567
1960Replacement level (2.1)2023 · 3.1

In 2023 women in Papua New Guinea had on average 3.10 children, above the replacement level of 2.1.

Source: World Bank World Development Indicators, latest available year.

Life expectancy at birth
Years, 1960–2023
Total Women Men
4050607080
19602023 · 66.1

Life expectancy at birth was 66.1 years in 2023: 69.1 for women and 63.7 for men.

Source: World Bank World Development Indicators, latest available year.

People supported per 100 workers
Dependency ratios, 1950–2100
Children Older adults
22456890
19502100
Migration to and from Papua New Guinea
Where immigrants come from (2024)

30,035 immigrants live in Papua New Guinea, 0.3% of the population.

Indonesia13,638
Australia9,250
New Zealand1,789
United Kingdom1,626
Philippines1,468
Where emigrants live (2024)

35,031 people born in Papua New Guinea live in other countries.

Australia34,316
Solomon Islands538
Vanuatu69
Samoa34
Guinea14
Explore
Immigration statistics Origin of migrant stocks map

Source: United Nations International Migrant Stock 2024.

How Papua New Guinea compares with its neighbours
Country Population Median age Relative size
Papua New Guinea 12,196,647 25.6
Solomon Islands 999,322 23.5
Fiji 963,356 30.5
Vanuatu 395,374 22.6
New Caledonia 314,191 37.7
Frequently asked questions about Papua New Guinea's population
How many people are projected to live in Papua New Guinea in 2033?
Papua New Guinea is projected to have a population of 12,196,646 in 2033.
Is Papua New Guinea's population growing or shrinking?
Yes, growing: up 17.4% from 2023, with a projected population of 14,906,590 in 2050.
What is the median age in Papua New Guinea?
Papua New Guinea's median age is 25.6 years.
How many children and older people live in Papua New Guinea?
4.7% of Papua New Guinea's population is 65 or older, and 30.4% is under 15.
What type of population pyramid does Papua New Guinea have?
Papua New Guinea has an expansive pyramid: a wide base of young cohorts reflecting high fertility and continued population growth.

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