Population Pyramids of the World from 1950 to 2100

Papua New Guinea Population Pyramid 2038

Papua New Guinea
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2038
Population: 13,047,123

Year

-5 -1   2038  +1 +5

Country

A B C D E F G H I J K L M N O P Q R S T U V W Y Z
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Summary

Papua New Guinea in 2038

In 2038, Papua New Guinea is projected to have a population of 13,047,123 people. Ten years before, in 2028, the projected population is 11,312,894 — 15.3% lower.

Half of the population would be younger than 26.8 years, with 28.8% children under 15 and 5.5% aged 65 or older. The pyramid is stationary: cohort sizes are roughly even through the younger ages, reflecting fertility close to replacement level and slow population change.

Ranks #86 of 201 by population Ranks #147 of 201 by median age Ranks #54 of 201 by growth

Share of the population by age group, 1950–2100

Data source: United Nations World Population Prospects, 2024 revision (medium variant) — last updated July 2024.

Key indicators for Papua New Guinea
Population
13,047,123
Median age
26.8
0-14 %
28.8%
65+ %
5.5%
Child dependency
43.8
Old-age dependency
8.3
Region
OCEANIA
Pyramid shape
Stationary
Population 2050
14,906,590
Population 2100
18,640,542
What is driving the change
Births per woman
Total fertility rate, 1960–2023
1234567
1960Replacement level (2.1)2023 · 3.1

In 2023 women in Papua New Guinea had on average 3.10 children, above the replacement level of 2.1.

Source: World Bank World Development Indicators, latest available year.

Life expectancy at birth
Years, 1960–2023
Total Women Men
4050607080
19602023 · 66.1

Life expectancy at birth was 66.1 years in 2023: 69.1 for women and 63.7 for men.

Source: World Bank World Development Indicators, latest available year.

People supported per 100 workers
Dependency ratios, 1950–2100
Children Older adults
22456890
19502100
Migration to and from Papua New Guinea
Where immigrants come from (2024)

30,035 immigrants live in Papua New Guinea, 0.3% of the population.

Indonesia13,638
Australia9,250
New Zealand1,789
United Kingdom1,626
Philippines1,468
Where emigrants live (2024)

35,031 people born in Papua New Guinea live in other countries.

Australia34,316
Solomon Islands538
Vanuatu69
Samoa34
Guinea14
Explore
Immigration statistics Origin of migrant stocks map

Source: United Nations International Migrant Stock 2024.

How Papua New Guinea compares with its neighbours
Country Population Median age Relative size
Papua New Guinea 13,047,124 26.8
Solomon Islands 1,098,297 24.7
Fiji 978,558 31.5
Vanuatu 435,153 23.7
New Caledonia 324,052 38.8
Frequently asked questions about Papua New Guinea's population
How many people are projected to live in Papua New Guinea in 2038?
Papua New Guinea is projected to have a population of 13,047,123 in 2038.
Is the population of Papua New Guinea increasing or decreasing?
Papua New Guinea's population grew 15.3% over the previous ten years, and is projected to reach 14,906,590 by 2050.
What is the median age in Papua New Guinea?
Papua New Guinea's median age is 26.8 years.
What share of Papua New Guinea's population is over 65 or under 15?
5.5% of Papua New Guinea's population is 65 or older, and 28.8% is under 15.
What type of population pyramid does Papua New Guinea have?
Papua New Guinea's pyramid is stationary — similar-sized cohorts through the younger ages, the signature of near-replacement fertility.

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