Population Pyramids of the World from 1950 to 2100

Papua New Guinea Population Pyramid 2039

Papua New Guinea
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2039
Population: 13,212,670

Year

-5 -1   2039  +1 +5

Country

A B C D E F G H I J K L M N O P Q R S T U V W Y Z
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Summary

Papua New Guinea in 2039

By 2039, the population of Papua New Guinea is expected to reach 13,212,670. That would be 15.0% more than in 2029 (11,492,804).

The median age is projected at 27.1 years, with 43.3 children under 15 and 8.6 people aged 65 or over for every 100 people of working age (15–64). The pyramid is stationary: cohort sizes are roughly even through the younger ages, reflecting fertility close to replacement level and slow population change.

Ranks #86 of 201 by population Ranks #147 of 201 by median age Ranks #54 of 201 by growth

Share of the population by age group, 1950–2100

Data source: United Nations World Population Prospects, 2024 revision (medium variant) — last updated July 2024.

Key indicators for Papua New Guinea
Population
13,212,670
Median age
27.1
0-14 %
28.5%
65+ %
5.6%
Child dependency
43.3
Old-age dependency
8.6
Region
OCEANIA
Pyramid shape
Stationary
Population 2050
14,906,590
Population 2100
18,640,542
What is driving the change
Births per woman
Total fertility rate, 1960–2023
1234567
1960Replacement level (2.1)2023 · 3.1

In 2023 women in Papua New Guinea had on average 3.10 children, above the replacement level of 2.1.

Source: World Bank World Development Indicators, latest available year.

Life expectancy at birth
Years, 1960–2023
Total Women Men
4050607080
19602023 · 66.1

Life expectancy at birth was 66.1 years in 2023: 69.1 for women and 63.7 for men.

Source: World Bank World Development Indicators, latest available year.

People supported per 100 workers
Dependency ratios, 1950–2100
Children Older adults
22456890
19502100
Migration to and from Papua New Guinea
Where immigrants come from (2024)

30,035 immigrants live in Papua New Guinea, 0.3% of the population.

Indonesia13,638
Australia9,250
New Zealand1,789
United Kingdom1,626
Philippines1,468
Where emigrants live (2024)

35,031 people born in Papua New Guinea live in other countries.

Australia34,316
Solomon Islands538
Vanuatu69
Samoa34
Guinea14
Explore
Immigration statistics Origin of migrant stocks map

Source: United Nations International Migrant Stock 2024.

How Papua New Guinea compares with its neighbours
Country Population Median age Relative size
Papua New Guinea 13,212,670 27.1
Solomon Islands 1,117,095 24.9
Fiji 981,282 31.7
Vanuatu 443,316 24.0
New Caledonia 325,831 39.0
Frequently asked questions about Papua New Guinea's population
How many people are projected to live in Papua New Guinea in 2039?
Papua New Guinea is projected to have a population of 13,212,670 in 2039.
Is Papua New Guinea's population growing or shrinking?
Yes, growing: up 15.0% from 2029, with a projected population of 14,906,590 in 2050.
What is the median age in Papua New Guinea?
The median age in Papua New Guinea is 27.1 years — half the population is younger, half older.
How many children and older people live in Papua New Guinea?
In Papua New Guinea, 28.5% of people are under 15 and 5.6% are 65 or older.
What shape is Papua New Guinea's population pyramid, and what does it mean?
Papua New Guinea has a stationary pyramid: cohort sizes are roughly even through the younger ages, reflecting fertility close to replacement level.

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