Papua New Guinea Population Pyramid 2040

Papua New Guinea
2040
Population: 13,376,160

Year

-5 -1   2040  +1 +5

Country

A B C D E F G H I J K L M N O P Q R S T U V W Y Z
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Papua New Guinea in 2040

In 2040, Papua New Guinea is projected to have a population of 13,376,160 people. Ten years before, in 2030, the projected population is 11,671,425 — 14.6% lower.

Half of the population would be younger than 27.3 years, with 28.3% children under 15 and 5.8% aged 65 or older. This is a stationary pyramid — similar numbers in each age group up to the older cohorts, the signature of near-replacement fertility.

Share of the population by age group, 1950–2100

Data source: United Nations World Population Prospects, 2024 revision (medium variant) — last updated July 2024.

Population
13,376,160
Median age
27.3
0-14 %
28.3%
65+ %
5.8%
Child dependency
42.8
Old-age dependency
8.8
Region
Pyramid shape
Population 2050
14,906,590
Population 2100
18,640,542
Births per woman
Total fertility rate, 1960–2023
1234567
1960Replacement level (2.1)2023 · 3.1

In 2023 women in Papua New Guinea had on average 3.10 children, above the replacement level of 2.1.

Source: World Bank World Development Indicators, latest available year.

Life expectancy at birth
Years, 1960–2023
Total Women Men
4050607080
19602023 · 66.1

Life expectancy at birth was 66.1 years in 2023: 69.1 for women and 63.7 for men.

Source: World Bank World Development Indicators, latest available year.

People supported per 100 workers
Dependency ratios, 1950–2100
Children Older adults
22456890
19502100
Where immigrants come from (2024)

30,035 immigrants live in Papua New Guinea, 0.3% of the population.

Indonesia13,638
Australia9,250
New Zealand1,789
United Kingdom1,626
Philippines1,468
Where emigrants live (2024)

35,031 people born in Papua New Guinea live in other countries.

Australia34,316
Solomon Islands538
Vanuatu69
Samoa34
Guinea14
Explore
Immigration statistics Origin of migrant stocks map

Source: United Nations International Migrant Stock 2024.

Country Population Median age Relative size
Papua New Guinea 13,376,161 27.3
Solomon Islands 1,135,455 25.2
Fiji 983,858 31.9
Vanuatu 451,513 24.2
New Caledonia 327,500 39.3
How many people are projected to live in Papua New Guinea in 2040?
Papua New Guinea is projected to have a population of 13,376,160 in 2040.
Is the population of Papua New Guinea increasing or decreasing?
Papua New Guinea's population grew 14.6% over the previous ten years, and is projected to reach 14,906,590 by 2050.
How old is the population of Papua New Guinea?
The median age in Papua New Guinea is 27.3 years — half the population is younger, half older.
How many children and older people live in Papua New Guinea?
In Papua New Guinea, 28.3% of people are under 15 and 5.8% are 65 or older.
What type of population pyramid does Papua New Guinea have?
Papua New Guinea has a stationary pyramid: cohort sizes are roughly even through the younger ages, reflecting fertility close to replacement level.

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