Population Pyramids of the World from 1950 to 2100

Papua New Guinea Population Pyramid 2045

Papua New Guinea
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2045
Population: 14,165,587

Year

-5 -1   2045  +1 +5

Country

A B C D E F G H I J K L M N O P Q R S T U V W Y Z
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Summary

Papua New Guinea in 2045

In 2045, Papua New Guinea is projected to have a population of 14,165,588 people. Ten years before, in 2035, the projected population is 12,540,602 — 13.0% lower.

Half of the population would be younger than 28.4 years, with 27.1% children under 15 and 6.6% aged 65 or older. The pyramid is stationary: cohort sizes are roughly even through the younger ages, reflecting fertility close to replacement level and slow population change.

Ranks #87 of 201 by population Ranks #147 of 201 by median age Ranks #57 of 201 by growth

Share of the population by age group, 1950–2100

Data source: United Nations World Population Prospects, 2024 revision (medium variant) — last updated July 2024.

Key indicators for Papua New Guinea
Population
14,165,588
Median age
28.4
0-14 %
27.1%
65+ %
6.6%
Child dependency
40.8
Old-age dependency
9.9
Region
OCEANIA
Pyramid shape
Stationary
Population 2050
14,906,590
Population 2100
18,640,542
What is driving the change
Births per woman
Total fertility rate, 1960–2023
1234567
1960Replacement level (2.1)2023 · 3.1

In 2023 women in Papua New Guinea had on average 3.10 children, above the replacement level of 2.1.

Source: World Bank World Development Indicators, latest available year.

Life expectancy at birth
Years, 1960–2023
Total Women Men
4050607080
19602023 · 66.1

Life expectancy at birth was 66.1 years in 2023: 69.1 for women and 63.7 for men.

Source: World Bank World Development Indicators, latest available year.

People supported per 100 workers
Dependency ratios, 1950–2100
Children Older adults
22456890
19502100
Migration to and from Papua New Guinea
Where immigrants come from (2024)

30,035 immigrants live in Papua New Guinea, 0.3% of the population.

Indonesia13,638
Australia9,250
New Zealand1,789
United Kingdom1,626
Philippines1,468
Where emigrants live (2024)

35,031 people born in Papua New Guinea live in other countries.

Australia34,316
Solomon Islands538
Vanuatu69
Samoa34
Guinea14
Explore
Immigration statistics Origin of migrant stocks map

Source: United Nations International Migrant Stock 2024.

How Papua New Guinea compares with its neighbours
Country Population Median age Relative size
Papua New Guinea 14,165,588 28.4
Solomon Islands 1,224,199 26.3
Fiji 994,457 33.0
Vanuatu 492,990 25.3
New Caledonia 335,163 40.5
Frequently asked questions about Papua New Guinea's population
What will the population of Papua New Guinea be in 2045?
Papua New Guinea is projected to have a population of 14,165,588 in 2045.
Is Papua New Guinea's population growing or shrinking?
Papua New Guinea's population grew 13.0% over the previous ten years, and is projected to reach 14,906,590 by 2050.
What is the median age in Papua New Guinea?
Papua New Guinea's median age is 28.4 years.
How many children and older people live in Papua New Guinea?
In Papua New Guinea, 27.1% of people are under 15 and 6.6% are 65 or older.
What type of population pyramid does Papua New Guinea have?
Papua New Guinea's pyramid is stationary — similar-sized cohorts through the younger ages, the signature of near-replacement fertility.

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