Population Pyramids of the World from 1950 to 2100

Papua New Guinea Population Pyramid 2046

Papua New Guinea
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2046
Population: 14,318,892

Year

-5 -1   2046  +1 +5

Country

A B C D E F G H I J K L M N O P Q R S T U V W Y Z
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Summary

Papua New Guinea in 2046

United Nations projections (medium variant) put the population of Papua New Guinea at 14,318,892 in 2046. That would be 12.7% more than in 2036 (12,710,682).

With a projected median age of 28.7 years, Papua New Guinea would have a youth dependency ratio of 40.5 and an old-age dependency ratio of 10.1 per 100 people of working age. The near-vertical sides of the pyramid indicate a stationary age structure, with births roughly balancing the passage of cohorts into older age.

Ranks #87 of 201 by population Ranks #146 of 201 by median age Ranks #58 of 201 by growth

Share of the population by age group, 1950–2100

Data source: United Nations World Population Prospects, 2024 revision (medium variant) — last updated July 2024.

Key indicators for Papua New Guinea
Population
14,318,892
Median age
28.7
0-14 %
26.9%
65+ %
6.7%
Child dependency
40.5
Old-age dependency
10.1
Region
OCEANIA
Pyramid shape
Stationary
Population 2050
14,906,590
Population 2100
18,640,542
What is driving the change
Births per woman
Total fertility rate, 1960–2023
1234567
1960Replacement level (2.1)2023 · 3.1

In 2023 women in Papua New Guinea had on average 3.10 children, above the replacement level of 2.1.

Source: World Bank World Development Indicators, latest available year.

Life expectancy at birth
Years, 1960–2023
Total Women Men
4050607080
19602023 · 66.1

Life expectancy at birth was 66.1 years in 2023: 69.1 for women and 63.7 for men.

Source: World Bank World Development Indicators, latest available year.

People supported per 100 workers
Dependency ratios, 1950–2100
Children Older adults
22456890
19502100
Migration to and from Papua New Guinea
Where immigrants come from (2024)

30,035 immigrants live in Papua New Guinea, 0.3% of the population.

Indonesia13,638
Australia9,250
New Zealand1,789
United Kingdom1,626
Philippines1,468
Where emigrants live (2024)

35,031 people born in Papua New Guinea live in other countries.

Australia34,316
Solomon Islands538
Vanuatu69
Samoa34
Guinea14
Explore
Immigration statistics Origin of migrant stocks map

Source: United Nations International Migrant Stock 2024.

How Papua New Guinea compares with its neighbours
Country Population Median age Relative size
Papua New Guinea 14,318,892 28.7
Solomon Islands 1,241,495 26.6
Fiji 995,975 33.3
Vanuatu 501,326 25.5
New Caledonia 336,484 40.7
Frequently asked questions about Papua New Guinea's population
What will the population of Papua New Guinea be in 2046?
UN projections put Papua New Guinea's population at 14,318,892 in 2046.
Is the population of Papua New Guinea increasing or decreasing?
Papua New Guinea's population grew 12.7% over the previous ten years, and is projected to reach 14,906,590 by 2050.
How old is the population of Papua New Guinea?
Papua New Guinea's median age is 28.7 years.
How many children and older people live in Papua New Guinea?
6.7% of Papua New Guinea's population is 65 or older, and 26.9% is under 15.
What shape is Papua New Guinea's population pyramid, and what does it mean?
Papua New Guinea's pyramid is stationary — similar-sized cohorts through the younger ages, the signature of near-replacement fertility.

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