Population Pyramids of the World from 1950 to 2100

Papua New Guinea Population Pyramid 2048

Papua New Guinea
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2048
Population: 14,617,370

Year

-5 -1   2048  +1 +5

Country

A B C D E F G H I J K L M N O P Q R S T U V W Y Z
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Summary

Papua New Guinea in 2048

By 2048, the population of Papua New Guinea is expected to reach 14,617,370. Compared with 2038, when the projection stands at 13,047,123, that represents growth of 12.0% over ten years.

Half of the population would be younger than 29.1 years, with 26.5% children under 15 and 7.0% aged 65 or older. The near-vertical sides of the pyramid indicate a stationary age structure, with births roughly balancing the passage of cohorts into older age.

Ranks #85 of 201 by population Ranks #147 of 201 by median age Ranks #60 of 201 by growth

Share of the population by age group, 1950–2100

Data source: United Nations World Population Prospects, 2024 revision (medium variant) — last updated July 2024.

Key indicators for Papua New Guinea
Population
14,617,370
Median age
29.1
0-14 %
26.5%
65+ %
7.0%
Child dependency
39.8
Old-age dependency
10.6
Region
OCEANIA
Pyramid shape
Stationary
Population 2050
14,906,590
Population 2100
18,640,542
What is driving the change
Births per woman
Total fertility rate, 1960–2023
1234567
1960Replacement level (2.1)2023 · 3.1

In 2023 women in Papua New Guinea had on average 3.10 children, above the replacement level of 2.1.

Source: World Bank World Development Indicators, latest available year.

Life expectancy at birth
Years, 1960–2023
Total Women Men
4050607080
19602023 · 66.1

Life expectancy at birth was 66.1 years in 2023: 69.1 for women and 63.7 for men.

Source: World Bank World Development Indicators, latest available year.

People supported per 100 workers
Dependency ratios, 1950–2100
Children Older adults
22456890
19502100
Migration to and from Papua New Guinea
Where immigrants come from (2024)

30,035 immigrants live in Papua New Guinea, 0.3% of the population.

Indonesia13,638
Australia9,250
New Zealand1,789
United Kingdom1,626
Philippines1,468
Where emigrants live (2024)

35,031 people born in Papua New Guinea live in other countries.

Australia34,316
Solomon Islands538
Vanuatu69
Samoa34
Guinea14
Explore
Immigration statistics Origin of migrant stocks map

Source: United Nations International Migrant Stock 2024.

How Papua New Guinea compares with its neighbours
Country Population Median age Relative size
Papua New Guinea 14,617,371 29.1
Solomon Islands 1,275,594 27.0
Fiji 998,560 33.7
Vanuatu 517,894 25.9
New Caledonia 338,655 41.2
Frequently asked questions about Papua New Guinea's population
What will the population of Papua New Guinea be in 2048?
Papua New Guinea is projected to have a population of 14,617,370 in 2048.
Is the population of Papua New Guinea increasing or decreasing?
Papua New Guinea's population grew 12.0% over the previous ten years, and is projected to reach 14,906,590 by 2050.
What is the median age in Papua New Guinea?
The median age in Papua New Guinea is 29.1 years — half the population is younger, half older.
How many children and older people live in Papua New Guinea?
7.0% of Papua New Guinea's population is 65 or older, and 26.5% is under 15.
What type of population pyramid does Papua New Guinea have?
Papua New Guinea has a stationary pyramid: cohort sizes are roughly even through the younger ages, reflecting fertility close to replacement level.

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