Population Pyramids of the World from 1950 to 2100

Papua New Guinea Population Pyramid 2073

Papua New Guinea
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2073
Population: 17,431,213

Year

-5 -1   2073  +1 +5

Country

A B C D E F G H I J K L M N O P Q R S T U V W Y Z
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Summary

Papua New Guinea in 2073

United Nations projections (medium variant) put the population of Papua New Guinea at 17,431,213 in 2073. Compared with 2063, when the projection stands at 16,509,327, that represents growth of 5.6% over ten years.

The median age is projected at 33.9 years, with 32.9 children under 15 and 16.4 people aged 65 or over for every 100 people of working age (15–64). The pyramid is stationary: cohort sizes are roughly even through the younger ages, reflecting fertility close to replacement level and slow population change.

Ranks #83 of 201 by population Ranks #152 of 201 by median age Ranks #64 of 201 by growth

Share of the population by age group, 1950–2100

Data source: United Nations World Population Prospects, 2024 revision (medium variant) — last updated July 2024.

Key indicators for Papua New Guinea
Population
17,431,213
Median age
33.9
0-14 %
22.0%
65+ %
11.0%
Child dependency
32.9
Old-age dependency
16.4
Region
OCEANIA
Pyramid shape
Stationary
Population 2050
14,906,590
Population 2100
18,640,542
What is driving the change
Births per woman
Total fertility rate, 1960–2023
1234567
1960Replacement level (2.1)2023 · 3.1

In 2023 women in Papua New Guinea had on average 3.10 children, above the replacement level of 2.1.

Source: World Bank World Development Indicators, latest available year.

Life expectancy at birth
Years, 1960–2023
Total Women Men
4050607080
19602023 · 66.1

Life expectancy at birth was 66.1 years in 2023: 69.1 for women and 63.7 for men.

Source: World Bank World Development Indicators, latest available year.

People supported per 100 workers
Dependency ratios, 1950–2100
Children Older adults
22456890
19502100
Migration to and from Papua New Guinea
Where immigrants come from (2024)

30,035 immigrants live in Papua New Guinea, 0.3% of the population.

Indonesia13,638
Australia9,250
New Zealand1,789
United Kingdom1,626
Philippines1,468
Where emigrants live (2024)

35,031 people born in Papua New Guinea live in other countries.

Australia34,316
Solomon Islands538
Vanuatu69
Samoa34
Guinea14
Explore
Immigration statistics Origin of migrant stocks map

Source: United Nations International Migrant Stock 2024.

How Papua New Guinea compares with its neighbours
Country Population Median age Relative size
Papua New Guinea 17,431,213 33.9
Solomon Islands 1,640,650 32.9
Fiji 975,844 38.9
Vanuatu 714,309 31.0
New Caledonia 347,238 45.2
Frequently asked questions about Papua New Guinea's population
What will the population of Papua New Guinea be in 2073?
Papua New Guinea is projected to have a population of 17,431,213 in 2073.
Is Papua New Guinea's population growing or shrinking?
Papua New Guinea's population grew 5.6% over the previous ten years, and is projected to reach 14,906,590 by 2050.
How old is the population of Papua New Guinea?
Papua New Guinea's median age is 33.9 years.
What share of Papua New Guinea's population is over 65 or under 15?
11.0% of Papua New Guinea's population is 65 or older, and 22.0% is under 15.
What shape is Papua New Guinea's population pyramid, and what does it mean?
Papua New Guinea has a stationary pyramid: cohort sizes are roughly even through the younger ages, reflecting fertility close to replacement level.

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