Population Pyramids of the World from 1950 to 2100

Papua New Guinea Population Pyramid 2081

Papua New Guinea
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2081
Population: 17,973,524

Year

-5 -1   2081  +1 +5

Country

A B C D E F G H I J K L M N O P Q R S T U V W Y Z
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Summary

Papua New Guinea in 2081

By 2081, the population of Papua New Guinea is expected to reach 17,973,524. Compared with 2071, when the projection stands at 17,270,186, that represents growth of 4.1% over ten years.

With a projected median age of 35.2 years, Papua New Guinea would have a youth dependency ratio of 31.5 and an old-age dependency ratio of 18.6 per 100 people of working age. This is a stationary pyramid — similar numbers in each age group up to the older cohorts, the signature of near-replacement fertility.

Ranks #81 of 201 by population Ranks #153 of 201 by median age Ranks #65 of 201 by growth

Share of the population by age group, 1950–2100

Data source: United Nations World Population Prospects, 2024 revision (medium variant) — last updated July 2024.

Key indicators for Papua New Guinea
Population
17,973,524
Median age
35.2
0-14 %
21.0%
65+ %
12.4%
Child dependency
31.5
Old-age dependency
18.6
Region
OCEANIA
Pyramid shape
Stationary
Population 2050
14,906,590
Population 2100
18,640,542
What is driving the change
Births per woman
Total fertility rate, 1960–2023
1234567
1960Replacement level (2.1)2023 · 3.1

In 2023 women in Papua New Guinea had on average 3.10 children, above the replacement level of 2.1.

Source: World Bank World Development Indicators, latest available year.

Life expectancy at birth
Years, 1960–2023
Total Women Men
4050607080
19602023 · 66.1

Life expectancy at birth was 66.1 years in 2023: 69.1 for women and 63.7 for men.

Source: World Bank World Development Indicators, latest available year.

People supported per 100 workers
Dependency ratios, 1950–2100
Children Older adults
22456890
19502100
Migration to and from Papua New Guinea
Where immigrants come from (2024)

30,035 immigrants live in Papua New Guinea, 0.3% of the population.

Indonesia13,638
Australia9,250
New Zealand1,789
United Kingdom1,626
Philippines1,468
Where emigrants live (2024)

35,031 people born in Papua New Guinea live in other countries.

Australia34,316
Solomon Islands538
Vanuatu69
Samoa34
Guinea14
Explore
Immigration statistics Origin of migrant stocks map

Source: United Nations International Migrant Stock 2024.

How Papua New Guinea compares with its neighbours
Country Population Median age Relative size
Papua New Guinea 17,973,524 35.2
Solomon Islands 1,725,110 34.8
Fiji 952,845 40.4
Vanuatu 769,625 32.9
New Caledonia 346,010 46.1
Frequently asked questions about Papua New Guinea's population
What will the population of Papua New Guinea be in 2081?
UN projections put Papua New Guinea's population at 17,973,524 in 2081.
Is Papua New Guinea's population growing or shrinking?
Papua New Guinea's population grew 4.1% over the previous ten years, and is projected to reach 14,906,590 by 2050.
How old is the population of Papua New Guinea?
The median age in Papua New Guinea is 35.2 years — half the population is younger, half older.
What share of Papua New Guinea's population is over 65 or under 15?
In Papua New Guinea, 21.0% of people are under 15 and 12.4% are 65 or older.
What type of population pyramid does Papua New Guinea have?
Papua New Guinea's pyramid is stationary — similar-sized cohorts through the younger ages, the signature of near-replacement fertility.

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