Population Pyramids of the World from 1950 to 2100

Portugal Population Pyramid 2033

Portugal
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2033
Population: 10,254,658

Year

-5 -1   2033  +1 +5

Country

A B C D E F G H I J K L M N O P Q R S T U V W Y Z
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Summary

Portugal in 2033

United Nations projections (medium variant) put the population of Portugal at 10,254,659 in 2033. Compared with 2023, when the projection stands at 10,430,738, that represents a decline of 1.7% over ten years.

Half of the population would be younger than 49.9 years, with 12.7% children under 15 and 28.2% aged 65 or older. This is a constrictive pyramid — its base is narrower than its middle, the signature of sustained low birth rates and population ageing.

Ranks #96 of 201 by population Ranks #10 of 201 by median age Ranks #164 of 201 by growth

Share of the population by age group, 1950–2100

Data source: United Nations World Population Prospects, 2024 revision (medium variant) — last updated July 2024.

Key indicators for Portugal
Population
10,254,659
Median age
49.9
0-14 %
12.7%
65+ %
28.2%
Child dependency
21.5
Old-age dependency
47.7
Region
EUROPE
Pyramid shape
Constrictive
Population 2050
9,770,271
Population 2100
8,753,987
What is driving the change
Births per woman
Total fertility rate, 1960–2023
1234
1960Replacement level (2.1)2023 · 1.44

The fertility rate of Portugal was 1.44 births per woman in 2023, under the 2.1 needed to replace each generation.

Source: World Bank World Development Indicators, latest available year.

Life expectancy at birth
Years, 1960–2023
Total Women Men
5060708090
19602023 · 82.3

A child born there in 2023 could expect to live 82.3 years on average (85.2 years for girls, 79.5 for boys).

Source: World Bank World Development Indicators, latest available year.

People supported per 100 workers
Dependency ratios, 1950–2100
Children Older adults
18355270
19502100
Migration to and from Portugal
Where immigrants come from (2024)

1,121,855 immigrants live in Portugal, 10.8% of the population.

Angola201,961
Brazil173,266
France117,183
Mozambique90,640
Cabo Verde76,835
Where emigrants live (2024)

1,784,840 people born in Portugal live in other countries.

France585,896
Switzerland202,178
United Kingdom193,901
Brazil146,697
United States of America141,889
Explore
Immigration statistics Origin of migrant stocks map

Source: United Nations International Migrant Stock 2024.

How Portugal compares with its neighbours
Country Population Median age Relative size
Portugal 10,254,659 49.9
Greece 9,586,437 50.4
Serbia 6,321,235 47.3
Croatia 3,653,762 48.2
Bosnia and Herzegovina 2,937,842 49.7
Frequently asked questions about Portugal's population
What will the population of Portugal be in 2033?
UN projections put Portugal's population at 10,254,659 in 2033.
Is the population of Portugal increasing or decreasing?
Yes, shrinking: down 1.7% from 2023, with a projected population of 9,770,271 in 2050.
What is the median age in Portugal?
The median age in Portugal is 49.9 years — half the population is younger, half older.
What share of Portugal's population is over 65 or under 15?
28.2% of Portugal's population is 65 or older, and 12.7% is under 15.
What shape is Portugal's population pyramid, and what does it mean?
Portugal's pyramid is constrictive — narrower at the base than the middle, the signature of sustained low fertility and population ageing.

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