Population Pyramids of the World from 1950 to 2100

Serbia Population Pyramid 2038

Serbia
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2038
Population: 6,083,452

Year

-5 -1   2038  +1 +5

Country

A B C D E F G H I J K L M N O P Q R S T U V W Y Z
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Summary

Serbia in 2038

United Nations projections (medium variant) put the population of Serbia at 6,083,452 in 2038. Ten years before, in 2028, the projected population is still 6,552,480 — a ten-year decline of 7.2%.

With a projected median age of 48.2 years, Serbia would have a youth dependency ratio of 21.6 and an old-age dependency ratio of 42.1 per 100 people of working age. This is a constrictive pyramid — its base is narrower than its middle, the signature of sustained low birth rates and population ageing.

Ranks #120 of 201 by population Ranks #26 of 201 by median age Ranks #193 of 201 by growth

Share of the population by age group, 1950–2100

Data source: United Nations World Population Prospects, 2024 revision (medium variant) — last updated July 2024.

Key indicators for Serbia
Population
6,083,452
Median age
48.2
0-14 %
13.2%
65+ %
25.7%
Child dependency
21.6
Old-age dependency
42.1
Region
EUROPE
Pyramid shape
Constrictive
Population 2050
5,532,870
Population 2100
3,701,499
What is driving the change
Births per woman
Total fertility rate, 1960–2023
123
1960Replacement level (2.1)2023 · 1.61

The fertility rate of Serbia was 1.61 births per woman in 2023, under the 2.1 needed to replace each generation.

Source: World Bank World Development Indicators, latest available year.

Life expectancy at birth
Years, 1960–2023
Total Women Men
60708090
19602023 · 76.2

Life expectancy at birth was 76.2 years in 2023: 78.7 for women and 73.9 for men.

Source: World Bank World Development Indicators, latest available year.

People supported per 100 workers
Dependency ratios, 1950–2100
Children Older adults
18355270
19502100
Migration to and from Serbia
Where immigrants come from (2024)

696,633 immigrants live in Serbia, 10.3% of the population.

Bosnia and Herzegovina277,641
Croatia223,325
Montenegro57,943
TFYR Macedonia34,921
Germany17,967
Where emigrants live (2024)

962,779 people born in Serbia live in other countries.

Germany303,740
Austria145,580
France96,840
Switzerland68,585
Hungary56,850
Explore
Immigration statistics Origin of migrant stocks map

Source: United Nations International Migrant Stock 2024.

How Serbia compares with its neighbours
Country Population Median age Relative size
Serbia 6,083,453 48.2
Croatia 3,536,618 49.1
Greece 9,362,891 51.2
Bosnia and Herzegovina 2,801,187 51.1
Albania 2,506,595 45.8
Frequently asked questions about Serbia's population
What will the population of Serbia be in 2038?
Serbia is projected to have a population of 6,083,452 in 2038.
Is Serbia's population growing or shrinking?
Yes, shrinking: down 7.2% from 2028, with a projected population of 5,532,870 in 2050.
How old is the population of Serbia?
The median age in Serbia is 48.2 years — half the population is younger, half older.
What share of Serbia's population is over 65 or under 15?
In Serbia, 13.2% of people are under 15 and 25.7% are 65 or older.
What shape is Serbia's population pyramid, and what does it mean?
Serbia has a constrictive pyramid: cohorts of children are smaller than those of their parents, reflecting low fertility and an ageing population.

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