Tajikistan Population Pyramid 2029
Tajikistan
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2029
Population:
11,545,285
Summary
Tajikistan in 2029
By 2029, the population of Tajikistan is expected to reach 11,545,286. Compared with 2019, when the projection stands at 9,529,966, that represents growth of 21.1% over ten years.
Half of the population would be younger than 23.8 years, with 33.9% children under 15 and 4.9% aged 65 or older. The broad-based, expansive shape of the pyramid points to high fertility and strong population growth.
Data source: United Nations World Population Prospects, 2024 revision (medium variant) — last updated July 2024.
Key indicators for Tajikistan
What is driving the change
Births per woman
Total fertility rate, 1960–2023
1234567
1960Replacement level (2.1)2023 · 3.07
The fertility rate of Tajikistan was 3.07 births per woman in 2023, above the 2.1 needed to replace each generation.
Source: World Bank World Development Indicators, latest available year.
Life expectancy at birth
Years, 1960–2023
Total
Women
Men
4050607080
19602023 · 71.8
Life expectancy at birth was 71.8 years in 2023: 74.0 for women and 69.6 for men.
Source: World Bank World Development Indicators, latest available year.
People supported per 100 workers
Dependency ratios, 1950–2100
Children
Older adults
22456890
19502100
Migration to and from Tajikistan
Where immigrants come from (2024)
276,478 immigrants live in Tajikistan, 2.6% of the population.
| Russian Federation | 235,636 |
| Afghanistan | 12,467 |
| Kyrgyzstan | 11,382 |
| Uzbekistan | 7,583 |
| Ukraine | 1,215 |
Where emigrants live (2024)
514,478 people born in Tajikistan live in other countries.
| Russian Federation | 415,676 |
| Ukraine | 30,256 |
| Kazakhstan | 27,922 |
| Turkey | 11,341 |
| Uzbekistan | 11,339 |
Explore
Immigration statistics
Origin of migrant stocks map
Source: United Nations International Migrant Stock 2024.
How Tajikistan compares with its neighbours
| Country | Population | Median age | Relative size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tajikistan | 11,545,286 | 23.8 | |
| Turkmenistan | 8,047,434 | 29.1 | |
| Kyrgyzstan | 7,704,608 | 26.8 | |
| Kazakhstan | 21,777,015 | 30.6 | |
| Uzbekistan | 39,634,351 | 27.8 |
Frequently asked questions about Tajikistan's population
How many people are projected to live in Tajikistan in 2029?
UN projections put Tajikistan's population at 11,545,286 in 2029.
Is Tajikistan's population growing or shrinking?
Yes, growing: up 21.1% from 2019, with a projected population of 15,574,643 in 2050.
What is the median age in Tajikistan?
Tajikistan's median age is 23.8 years.
What share of Tajikistan's population is over 65 or under 15?
4.9% of Tajikistan's population is 65 or older, and 33.9% is under 15.
What type of population pyramid does Tajikistan have?
Tajikistan has an expansive pyramid: a wide base of young cohorts reflecting high fertility and continued population growth.
